PnL all-time+$206vol $7,067
PnL 30d+$118gains $87 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$7.88win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate85.7%adj 64.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$3,146cash n/a
Positions4 / 18open / all-time
Max drawdown−21.2%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$384below peak −$11Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale33
Adjusted win rateraw 85.7% · shrunk toward 50%62
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable42
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d91
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity79
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1,734 | 87¢ | 97.8¢ | $1,695 | +$186 | $0 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 1,186 | 92.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $1,086 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 357 | 97.7¢ | 98.7¢ | $353 | +$3.42 | $0 | |
| Will Alberta join the US? | No | 13 | 96.7¢ | 98.9¢ | $12 | +$0.28 | $0 |
Recent trades
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