sharpside
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Traders/Rank #992

ratehikes

0xa30…4cf2
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+SportPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$207kvol $4.60M
PnL 30d+$193kgains $618k · losses $320k
PnL 7d−$16.7kwin rate 7d 78.6%
Win rate54.5%adj 52.8% · 30d 61.5%
Open value$71.8kcash n/a
Positions23 / 99open / all-time
Max drawdown−86.6%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$234kbelow peak −$105kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale76
Adjusted win rateraw 54.5% · shrunk toward 50%32
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity13

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 23

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes39.3k60.7¢95.6¢$37.5k+$13.7k+$1,352
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes174k8.1¢15.5¢$27.0k+$12.9k+$1,877
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes3,46723.6¢76.9¢$2,664+$1,846+$0.35
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes2,75310.8¢69.1¢$1,902+$1,604+$700
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No1,23956¢97.6¢$1,209+$515+$71
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes4,77418.1¢18.3¢$871+$8.00$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Yes5,75616¢10.1¢$581−$338$0
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Yes86427.9¢8.6¢$75−$166$0
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5Over9343¢44.5¢$41+$1.39$0
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No266.6¢97.2¢$2.31+$0.73+$917
Eagles vs. BearsEagles55.0k63.4¢0¢$0−$34.8k$0
Falcons vs. PackersPackers35.0k69¢0¢$0−$24.1k$0
Spread: Bears (-3.5)Eagles15.0k74¢0¢$0−$11.1k$0
Patriots vs. BillsBills12.0k74¢0¢$0−$8,880$0
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)Eagles6,00048¢0¢$0−$2,880$0
Spread: Packers (-3.5)Packers5,00042¢0¢$0−$2,100$0
Spread: Seahawks (-14.5)Seahawks2,20027¢0¢$0−$594$0
Spread: Bears (-2.5)Eagles2,13968¢0¢$0−$1,454$0
Packers Team Total: O/U 26.5Over1,57341¢0¢$0−$645$0
Dolphins vs. Vikings: O/U 42.5Over1,40039¢0¢$0−$546$0
Spread: Bears (-1.5)Eagles47366¢0¢$0−$312$0
Lions vs. Panthers: O/U 61.5Over20424¢0¢$0−$49$0
Spread: Bears (-5.5)Eagles7078¢0¢$0−$55$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY OverBuccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.545¢9,500$4,27555%38
BUY OverBuccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.543¢55$2455%38
BUY OverFalcons vs. Saints: O/U 48.547¢6,500$3,05555%38
BUY OverFalcons vs. Saints: O/U 46.554¢3,330$1,79855%38
SELL YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?0.1¢782$0.7855%38
SELL YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?0.4¢782$3.1355%38
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?0.4¢782$3.1355%38
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?16¢26.5k$4,23555%38
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?0.4¢110k$44155%38
SELL YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?0.2¢56.2k$11255%38
SELL YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?0.4¢110k$44155%38
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?17¢110k$18.8k55%38Whale
BUY PanthersLions vs. Panthers90¢219$19755%38
BUY 49ersSpread: 49ers (-9.5)26¢339$8855%38
BUY OverDolphins vs. Vikings: O/U 42.539¢1,400$54655%38
BUY OverLions vs. Panthers: O/U 55.539¢3,176$1,23955%38
BUY UnderBroncos vs. 49ers: O/U 46.543¢2,700$1,16155%38
BUY VikingsSpread: Dolphins (-10.5)95¢7,000$6,65055%38
BUY OverLions vs. Panthers: O/U 61.524¢204$4955%38
BUY SeahawksSpread: Seahawks (-14.5)27¢2,200$59455%38