sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

alpha-bonds

0xa31…344d
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+SportWeatherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$5,409vol $269k
PnL 30d+$399gains $1,813 · losses $1,775
PnL 7d+$340win rate 7d 95.2%
Win rate88.7%adj 85.8% · 30d 96.7%
Open value$3,110cash n/a
Positions11 / 279open / all-time
Max drawdown−21.5%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$12.7kbelow peak −$250Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

80/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale53
Adjusted win rateraw 88.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity79

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 11

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,20585.5¢80.5¢$970−$60$0
Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes41392¢97.1¢$401+$21$0
Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?Yes36195.7¢98.5¢$356+$10$0
Will Koguma peak as a Strong typhoon?No31181.4¢99.9¢$310+$57$0
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Yes30994¢98.1¢$302+$12$0
Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?Yes31994.1¢93.4¢$298−$2.44$0
Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Yes36795.5¢52.7¢$193−$157$0
Will Simon peak at Category 2?No17792.8¢99.6¢$176+$12$0
Will Anthropic list on the NYSE?No5689.9¢96.6¢$54+$3.68$0
Will Simon peak at Category 1 or weaker?No5098¢99.6¢$50+$0.80$0
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Yes32776.5¢0¢$0−$250−$2.94

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?2.4¢8,115$19589%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-10-11?96¢104$10089%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-10-11?95.5¢105$10089%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-10-11?96¢21$2089%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-10-11?96.8¢94$9189%80Sharp
BUY NoWill CU Técnica de Cajamarca win on 2026-10-11?89¢337$30089%80Sharp
BUY NoWill CD Nacional win on 2026-10-11?97.3¢308$30089%80Sharp
BUY NoWill 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-10-10?95.5¢367$35089%80Sharp
BUY Tommy PaulShanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo97¢258$25089%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-10-10?98.4¢254$25089%80Sharp
BUY Casper RuudShanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud78¢362$28289%80Sharp
BUY NoWill SK Brann win on 2026-10-09?92.4¢325$30089%80Sharp
BUY Alexander BublikShanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac70¢429$30089%80Sharp
SELL YesWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?99.5¢418$41689%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Simon peak at Category 2?93¢15$1489%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Simon peak at Category 2?92.8¢162$15089%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Simon peak at Category 1 or weaker?98¢50$4989%80Sharp
BUY YesWill Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?92¢413$38089%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Koguma peak as a Strong typhoon?74.3¢20$1589%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Koguma peak as a Strong typhoon?77¢39$3089%80Sharp