PnL all-time−$1,296vol $698k
PnL 30d+$3,951gains $0 · losses $2,043
PnL 7d+$4,682win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate52.0%adj 51.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$613kcash n/a
Positions4 / 30open / all-time
Max drawdown−31.8%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$30.3kbelow peak $0Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 52.0% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$2,043Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yesopen−$208Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yesclosed−$71First Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japan · Chinese Taipeiclosed−$50Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? · Yesopen−$43
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 401k | 91.8¢ | 97.7¢ | $392k | +$23.6k | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 248k | 85.9¢ | 89¢ | $221k | +$7,699 | $0 | |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | Yes | 800 | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | −$7.50 | |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | Yes | 252 | 16.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$41 | −$1.72 |
Recent trades
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