Traders/Unranked

Vagabund97

0xa53…4021

SharpPnL 10k+WR 60+OtherCrypto

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$24.7kvol $889k

PnL 30d+$3,564gains $11.7k · losses $7,321

PnL 7d−$170win rate 7d 87.5%

Win rate69.9%adj 69.2% · 30d 66.3%

Open value$6,166cash n/a

Positions116 / 931open / all-time

Max drawdown−13.7%of equity peak

Account age10molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$28.3kbelow peak −$874Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

77/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63

Adjusted win rateraw 69.9% · shrunk toward 50%73

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August? · Yesclosed+$942 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in August? · Yesclosed+$861 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June? · Yesclosed+$773 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September? · Yesclosed+$728 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? · Yesclosed+$664

Worst markets

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August? · Yesclosed−$1,562 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July? · Yesclosed−$1,038 Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in July? · Yesclosed−$841 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in August? · Yesclosed−$788 Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$775

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will edgeX dip to $0.30 before 2027?	Yes	679	60.4¢	70¢	$475	+$65	+$66	3mo
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	No	1,184	27.7¢	31.6¢	$374	+$45	+$114	4mo
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	Yes	1,474	32.4¢	21.5¢	$317	−$160	+$1.35	3mo
Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027?	Yes	480	56.9¢	62.5¢	$300	+$27	−$0.81	3mo
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	685	52.2¢	40.1¢	$274	−$83	+$16	3mo
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	756	51.9¢	36¢	$272	−$120	+$6.60	3mo
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,626	24.7¢	16.5¢	$268	−$134	+$2.09	3mo
Will BNB dip to $650 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	438	33.9¢	58.5¢	$256	+$108	$0	3mo
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	2,013	37.7¢	12.5¢	$252	−$508	−$266	3mo
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?	Yes	847	33.1¢	29.5¢	$250	−$31	+$229	3mo
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in October?	Yes	1,007	37.9¢	23¢	$232	−$150	$0	19d 19h
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October?	No	266	63.5¢	78¢	$207	+$39	$0	19d 19h
Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	560	29¢	33.5¢	$188	+$25	+$0.10	3mo
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	297	54.2¢	62.5¢	$186	+$25	$0	3mo
Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	954	21.1¢	18.5¢	$177	−$25	$0	3mo
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in October?	Yes	506	33.5¢	31.5¢	$159	−$9.89	$0	19d 19h
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	303	29¢	43¢	$130	+$42	+$18	3mo
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	398	28¢	32¢	$127	+$16	+$13	3mo
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	Yes	210	72.6¢	59.8¢	$125	−$27	+$106	3mo
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	150	80¢	75.5¢	$113	−$6.75	$0	3mo
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	Yes	257	57.3¢	38.5¢	$99	−$48	+$92	3mo
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?	Yes	305	40.8¢	31.5¢	$96	−$28	$0	19d 19h
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?	Yes	300	29.6¢	30.5¢	$91	+$2.70	$0	19d 19h
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in October?	Yes	156	51.7¢	55.9¢	$87	+$6.45	$0	19d 19h
Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	275	20.3¢	31.5¢	$87	+$31	+$20	3mo
Will XRP hit $2 by March 31, 2027?	No	160	55.1¢	49.5¢	$79	−$9.03	$0	6mo
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?	Yes	409	35¢	19.1¢	$78	−$65	+$1.25	3mo
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	801	13¢	9.5¢	$76	−$28	$0	3mo
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	831	8¢	8.5¢	$71	+$4.16	$0	3mo
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	150	66¢	41.5¢	$62	−$37	$0	3mo
Will Chainlink dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	No	132	58.9¢	43.5¢	$57	−$20	−$0.17	3mo
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?	Yes	401	33.1¢	13¢	$52	−$80	+$2.47	19d 19h
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	540	14¢	9.5¢	$51	−$24	$0	3mo
Will Sui dip to $0.60 before 2027?	No	98	65¢	50¢	$49	−$15	+$0.02	3mo
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	Yes	300	25.4¢	16.1¢	$48	−$28	+$0.43	3mo
Will Ethereum hit $6k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	172	31.1¢	26¢	$45	−$8.80	+$0.25	15mo
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 150 and 160?	No	72	62¢	61.5¢	$44	−$0.33	$0	3mo
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in October?	Yes	1,329	5.1¢	2.9¢	$39	−$29	$0	19d 19h
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in October?	Yes	60	33¢	48¢	$29	+$9.00	$0	19d 19h
Will AVAX dip to $6 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	67	40.4¢	37.5¢	$25	−$1.93	−$2.19	3mo
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	40	38.3¢	58¢	$23	+$7.87	$0	3mo
Will Ethereum hit $6k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	121	25¢	18.5¢	$22	−$7.81	$0	12mo
Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	34	17.7¢	51.5¢	$17	+$11	$0	3mo
Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	214	36.8¢	7¢	$15	−$64	+$0.01	3mo
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0120 by December 31, 2026?	No	20	76¢	75.5¢	$15	−$0.10	+$0.03	3mo
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?	No	21	69.2¢	69.5¢	$15	+$0.07	+$0.03	3mo
Will Solana hit $300 by September 30, 2027?	No	21	69.2¢	67¢	$14	−$0.47	+$12	12mo
Will Cap dip to $0.03 before 2027?	Yes	19	60¢	67.5¢	$13	+$1.45	+$0.03	3mo
Will Ethena dip to $0.12 by December 31, 2026?	No	21	66¢	54.5¢	$11	−$2.42	$0	3mo
Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	26	55.9¢	36¢	$9.36	−$5.17	+$0.15	12mo
Will AVAX dip to $7 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	21	80¢	43¢	$9.03	−$7.77	−$6.30	3mo
Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	53	46¢	16.5¢	$8.78	−$16	+$0.21	3mo
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.83% in October?	Yes	21	45¢	38.5¢	$7.95	−$1.34	$0	19d 19h
Will Chainlink dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	8	45¢	56.5¢	$4.47	+$0.91	+$1.16	3mo
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	26	53¢	17¢	$4.42	−$9.36	$0	3mo
Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	5	58¢	68¢	$3.64	+$0.54	−$1.25	15mo
Will Chainlink dip to $10 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5	53¢	67¢	$3.40	+$0.71	+$1.70	3mo
Will Solana hit $300 by December 31, 2027?	No	6	76¢	55¢	$3.07	−$1.17	+$14	15mo
Will Solana hit $150 by December 31, 2027?	No	21	38¢	14.5¢	$3.04	−$4.93	+$0.20	15mo
Will Solana hit $150 by March 31, 2027?	Yes	5	35¢	60¢	$2.99	+$1.25	$0	6mo
Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026?	No	3	35¢	88¢	$2.40	+$1.45	$0	3mo
Will edgeX reach $1.60 before 2027?	Yes	18	7.2¢	10.5¢	$1.90	+$0.59	+$1.83	3mo
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?	Yes	25	43¢	5.5¢	$1.38	−$9.38	$0	3mo
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% in October?	No	2	68¢	88¢	$1.36	+$0.31	$0	19d 19h
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0070 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	2	60¢	58.5¢	$1.22	−$0.03	−$4.07	3mo
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% in October?	Yes	2	40¢	42.5¢	$0.87	+$0.05	+$3.04	19d 19h
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?	Yes	5	15¢	6.5¢	$0.32	−$0.42	+$0.01	3mo
Will AVAX dip to $5 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	3	46¢	3.7¢	$0.10	−$1.20	+$0.73	3mo
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5?	No	1,645	3.1¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$2.55	ended
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 7?	Yes	1,624	17.2¢	0¢	$0	−$280	−$7.74	ended
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Yes	1,147	37.1¢	0¢	$0	−$426	−$7.99	ended
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 7?	Yes	1,122	14.5¢	0¢	$0	−$163	−$9.75	ended
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	Yes	1,075	5.7¢	0¢	$0	−$61	$0	ended
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2?	No	1,065	12.4¢	0¢	$0	−$132	−$8.09	ended
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2?	No	1,045	14.7¢	0¢	$0	−$154	−$9.18	ended
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	1,028	31.8¢	0¢	$0	−$327	−$8.59	ended
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	1,000	6.5¢	0¢	$0	−$65	$0	ended
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2?	Yes	1,000	8.8¢	0¢	$0	−$88	$0	ended
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $57 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	940	16.6¢	0¢	$0	−$156	−$5.00	ended
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	916	8.2¢	0¢	$0	−$75	−$1.56	ended
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8?	Yes	853	13.4¢	0¢	$0	−$114	−$6.92	ended
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	852	6.2¢	0¢	$0	−$52	−$0.61	ended
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	850	14.1¢	0¢	$0	−$119	$0	ended
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September?	Yes	848	36.9¢	0¢	$0	−$313	−$2.71	ended
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?	Yes	832	5¢	0¢	$0	−$42	−$1.58	ended
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	814	25¢	0¢	$0	−$203	−$5.92	ended
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	800	8.8¢	0¢	$0	−$71	−$1.80	ended
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in September?	Yes	783	10.7¢	0¢	$0	−$84	−$3.71	ended
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	729	31.3¢	0¢	$0	−$228	−$6.26	ended
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	716	9.2¢	0¢	$0	−$66	−$1.74	ended
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	647	15.2¢	0¢	$0	−$98	−$3.22	ended
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1?	Yes	620	7.1¢	0¢	$0	−$44	−$2.87	ended
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 9?	No	618	25.4¢	0¢	$0	−$157	−$3.69	ended
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?	No	614	3.7¢	0¢	$0	−$23	−$1.51	ended
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	589	14¢	0¢	$0	−$83	$0	ended
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	540	6¢	0¢	$0	−$32	−$1.22	ended
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	534	9¢	0¢	$0	−$48	+$334	ended
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 30?	Yes	504	3.3¢	0¢	$0	−$17	−$1.08	ended
Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	500	4.4¢	0¢	$0	−$22	$0	3mo
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	500	34¢	0¢	$0	−$170	−$4.49	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp	Flags
1d ago	SELL No	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	43.9¢	308	$135	70%	77	Sharp
2d ago	SELL No	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	62.6¢	45	$28	70%	77	Sharp
2d ago	BUY No	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in October?	51.8¢	226	$117	70%	77	Sharp
2d ago	BUY No	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 9?	21¢	318	$67	70%	77	Sharp
2d ago	BUY No	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October?	63.5¢	266	$169	70%	77	Sharp
2d ago	BUY Yes	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	19¢	569	$108	70%	77	Sharp
2d ago	SELL Yes	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?	38.6¢	638	$247	70%	77	Sharp
3d ago	SELL No	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	39.8¢	40	$16	70%	77	Sharp
3d ago	BUY No	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	29.9¢	294	$88	70%	77	Sharp
3d ago	BUY Yes	Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	29¢	560	$162	70%	77	Sharp
3d ago	BUY Yes	Will BNB dip to $650 by December 31, 2026?	33.9¢	438	$148	70%	77	Sharp
3d ago	BUY Yes	Will edgeX dip to $0.30 before 2027?	67¢	3	$2.18	70%	77	Sharp
3d ago	BUY Yes	Will edgeX dip to $0.30 before 2027?	65.4¢	348	$228	70%	77	Sharp
3d ago	BUY Yes	Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	19.9¢	302	$60	70%	77	Sharp
3d ago	BUY Yes	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	28¢	398	$111	70%	77	Sharp
3d ago	BUY Yes	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	52.6¢	535	$281	70%	77	Sharp
3d ago	SELL Yes	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	9¢	1,368	$124	70%	77	Sharp
3d ago	SELL No	Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2027?	37.2¢	53	$20	70%	77	Sharp
3d ago	SELL No	Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2027?	39¢	35	$14	70%	77	Sharp
3d ago	SELL Yes	Will edgeX dip to $0.30 before 2027?	77.2¢	338	$261	70%	77	Sharp