sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,293

pmcb

0xa56…96ec
WhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$21.9kvol $1.37M
PnL 30d+$250gains $0 · losses $1,065
PnL 7d+$1,178win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate96.5%adj 84.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$134kcash n/a
Positions14 / 71open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.7%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$37.2kbelow peak −$205Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

66/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 96.5% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable62
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$5,813Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$4,210US recession by end of 2026? · Noopen+$3,795Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Noopen+$3,630Trump out as President before 2027? · Noopen+$3,410

Worst markets

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? · Noopen−$2,837Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? · Noopen−$1,415Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$1,064US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · Noopen−$680China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yesopen−$6.25

Open positions · 14

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No46.4k90.1¢97.4¢$45.2k+$3,362+$268
Trump out as President before 2027?No30.0k84.1¢95.5¢$28.6k+$3,410$0
US recession by end of 2026?No25.9k78.8¢93.5¢$24.2k+$3,795$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No21.0k87¢97.7¢$20.5k+$2,247+$196
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes6,92458.2¢75.5¢$5,227+$1,195$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes4,00083¢84.5¢$3,380+$60$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes4,00060¢81.5¢$3,260+$860$0
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?No1,90881¢81.5¢$1,555+$9.54+$2.09
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes1,50077¢93.5¢$1,402+$248$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Yes1,00062¢64.5¢$645+$25$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes25012¢4.5¢$11−$19+$12
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No6,00047.3¢0¢$0−$2,837$0
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?No1,90074.5¢0¢$0−$1,415$0
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No1,00065¢0¢$0−$650−$30

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?62¢816$50697%66
SELL NoAI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?82.3¢1,451$1,19597%66
BUY NoAI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?81¢3,359$2,72197%66
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?83¢4,000$3,32097%66
BUY NoUS recession by end of 2026?93¢8,842$8,22397%66
BUY YesWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?75¢2,795$2,09697%66
SELL NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?21¢2,300$48397%66
BUY NoWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of August 24 2026?96.7¢1,200$1,16097%66
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?70¢800$56097%66
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?47¢4$2.0097%66
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?48¢2$1.0097%66
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?46¢2$1.0097%66
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?42¢10$4.2097%66
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?43¢10$4.3097%66
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?42¢10$4.2097%66
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?43¢10$4.3097%66
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?78¢500$39097%66
SELL NoWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?99.5¢2,568$2,55597%66
BUY NoWill Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?90¢2,500$2,25097%66
SELL NoWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?99.1¢3,564$3,53297%66