sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,676

GonTanaka

0xa62…a8ff
WhalePnL 10k+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$15.9kvol $492k
PnL 30d+$7,666gains $8,495 · losses $140
PnL 7d+$99win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate59.3%adj 58.8% · 30d 64.0%
Open value$1,125cash n/a
Positions19 / 431open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.3%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$16.5kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 59.3% · shrunk toward 50%47
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 19

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?No21584¢89.5¢$192+$12$0
Trump goes to space in 2026?No18096.3¢97.8¢$176+$2.58$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No15774.2¢81.5¢$128+$11+$5.32
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes14072.5¢80.5¢$113+$11−$0.09
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?No10090.4¢98.9¢$99+$8.50$0
Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?No10088.8¢97.3¢$97+$8.50$0
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes11041¢79.5¢$87+$42$0
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?No6979.2¢88¢$61+$6.06+$13
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?No5590¢99.4¢$55+$5.14$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No4177.2¢84.5¢$35+$3.00−$1,567
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes2737.8¢60.4¢$16+$6.09$0
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes3034¢43.5¢$13+$2.85$0
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes2029¢62.5¢$13+$6.70$0
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes2504¢3.8¢$9.50−$0.50$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes4026¢22.5¢$9.00−$1.40$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes3326.9¢26.5¢$8.74−$0.13$0
Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?Yes2049.4¢31.5¢$6.38−$3.62$0
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No959¢66.5¢$5.90+$0.67$0
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?Yes911.1¢1.1¢$1.00$0$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?64¢129$8359%70
BUY YesWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 achieve a successful splashdown?29¢20$5.8059%70
BUY YesWill the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?49.4¢20$1059%70
SELL YesWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?21¢742$15659%70
BUY YesWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?30¢11$3.3059%70
BUY YesWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?28¢10$2.8059%70
BUY NoWill Trump visit Greenland by December 31?84¢215$18159%70
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?26.8¢38$1059%70
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?70¢117$8259%70
SELL YesWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?40¢167$6759%70
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?37.8¢5$1.8959%70
BUY YesWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?34¢15$5.1059%70
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?44¢10$4.4059%70
SELL NoHouthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?67¢295$19759%70
SELL NoWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?87¢26$2359%70
SELL NoWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?87¢21$1859%70
SELL NoWill Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?89¢80$7159%70
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?77¢117$9059%70
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?56¢49$2759%70
BUY NoWill the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?59¢5$2.8759%70