sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,768

pizzabillgates

0xa77…162d
WhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$74.6kvol $75.4M
PnL 30d−$4,700gains $61 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$2,560win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate84.6%adj 63.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$97.8kcash n/a
Positions38 / 52open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 2mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$66.5kbelow peak −$160kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 84.6% · shrunk toward 50%59
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable57
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 38

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes62.1k39.1¢48.4¢$30.1k+$5,789−$1,545
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.64M0.7¢0.5¢$8,192−$2,652+$1,448
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes22.3k43.7¢34.5¢$7,706−$2,046$0
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.80M0.8¢0.3¢$4,496−$9,805+$1,694
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes449k1.1¢1¢$4,266−$579+$432
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.58M0.8¢0.3¢$3,957−$8,355+$442
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes594k1¢0.7¢$3,858−$2,025+$618
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.85M0.7¢0.2¢$2,774−$9,864+$1,563
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.01M0.9¢0.3¢$2,535−$6,301+$901
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes724k0.8¢0.4¢$2,533−$3,047+$295
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes152k1.5¢1.7¢$2,513+$210+$3,876
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.66M0.7¢0.2¢$2,485−$8,508+$991
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes953k1.1¢0.3¢$2,384−$8,473+$1,687
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.55M0.8¢0.2¢$2,325−$9,619+$582
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes638k0.9¢0.4¢$2,232−$3,367+$59
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes555k0.8¢0.4¢$1,944−$2,284$0
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.19M0.7¢0.2¢$1,788−$6,401+$906
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes196k1.1¢0.9¢$1,668−$454+$2,999
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.02M0.7¢0.2¢$1,536−$5,427+$549
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes882k0.8¢0.2¢$1,323−$5,733+$63
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes628k0.9¢0.2¢$941−$4,671+$708
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.84M0.8¢0.1¢$919−$13.7k+$758
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.72M0.7¢0.1¢$860−$11.7k+$454
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes340k0.2¢0.3¢$851+$170$0
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.51M0.7¢0.1¢$754−$9,106+$1,518
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.34M0.7¢0.1¢$668−$8,875−$112
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes438k0.5¢0.2¢$657−$1,533+$1,626
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes73.8k0.9¢0.5¢$332−$358+$1,564
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.1k2.5¢2.6¢$258+$9.52+$580
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes426k0.6¢0.1¢$213−$2,342+$2,497
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes130k0.8¢0.2¢$195−$845+$1,070
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes118k0.6¢0.2¢$176−$529+$1,670
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes71.1k0.9¢0.2¢$107−$533+$902
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No10096.1¢100¢$100+$3.90$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes1,00013¢8.5¢$85−$45$0
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes39.3k0.7¢0.1¢$20−$256+$339
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7990.9¢2.4¢$19+$12+$512
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes10019¢9.5¢$9.50−$9.50$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?19.9¢18.5k$3,68385%24
SELL YesWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?18.9¢101k$19.2k85%24Whale
BUY YesWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.8¢8,064$6585%24
BUY YesWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.8¢48.7k$38985%24
BUY YesWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.8¢127k$1,01685%24
BUY YesWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1.2¢32.6k$39185%24
BUY YesWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1.2¢27.9k$33485%24
BUY YesWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1.2¢27.6k$33185%24
BUY YesWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1.2¢73.5k$88385%24
BUY YesWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1.2¢853$1085%24
BUY YesWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1.2¢42.8k$51385%24
BUY YesWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.9¢22.9k$20685%24
BUY YesWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.9¢12.2k$11085%24
BUY YesWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.9¢65.0k$58585%24
BUY YesWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.8¢47.7k$38285%24
BUY YesWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.8¢33.6k$26985%24
BUY YesWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.8¢9,133$7385%24
BUY YesWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.8¢9,708$7885%24
BUY YesWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.8¢19.7k$15885%24
BUY YesWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.8¢23.6k$18885%24