PnL all-time+$29.1kvol $1.70M
PnL 30d+$3,085gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$825win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate93.8%adj 69.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$218kcash n/a
Positions10 / 26open / all-time
Max drawdown−24.1%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$49.9kbelow peak −$1,723Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale64
Adjusted win rateraw 93.8% · shrunk toward 50%74
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity76
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$17.9kWill Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Noopen+$10.4kWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Noopen+$4,672Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$4,045Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$3,488
Worst markets
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 60.0k | 89.9¢ | 97.7¢ | $58.6k | +$4,672 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 41.2k | 90.5¢ | 99¢ | $40.8k | +$3,488 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 42.5k | 83.4¢ | 90.5¢ | $38.4k | +$2,995 | −$865 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 30.3k | 91.9¢ | 99.4¢ | $30.1k | +$2,280 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 30.0k | 85.7¢ | 99.2¢ | $29.7k | +$4,045 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 42.5k | 41.5¢ | 48.6¢ | $20.6k | +$2,994 | −$1,509 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 640 | 22.2¢ | 19.9¢ | $127 | −$15 | −$149 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 5 | 96¢ | 98.8¢ | $5.00 | +$0.14 | +$10.4k | |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April? | Yes | 9,967 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$897 | $0 | |
| Will Binance be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 1,869 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$280 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s