sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #4,878

sunshines

0xa7e…421b
PoliticsSportCultureCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$4,124vol $106k
PnL 30d−$47gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$5.27win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate57.3%adj 56.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$10.3kcash n/a
Positions230 / 380open / all-time
Max drawdown−99.8%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 7mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,803below peak −$183Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 57.3% · shrunk toward 50%41
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable86
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes40265.4¢100¢$402+$139$0
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No37089¢100¢$370+$41$0
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?Yes35984.9¢100¢$359+$54$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes33553.8¢100¢$335+$155$0
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?No31075.7¢100¢$310+$75$0
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No30089.7¢100¢$300+$31$0
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No22298.1¢100¢$222+$4.20$0
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No20475¢100¢$204+$51$0
Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes20132.1¢100¢$201+$137$0
Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No20197.8¢100¢$201+$4.42$0
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?No20097¢100¢$200+$6.00$0
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?No20095¢100¢$200+$10$0
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?No20098.9¢100¢$200+$2.21$0
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No20095.6¢100¢$200+$8.80$0
Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?No20063¢100¢$200+$74$0
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No20093.7¢100¢$200+$13$0
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Yes20084¢100¢$200+$32$0
James Norton announced as next James Bond?No20098.4¢100¢$200+$3.20$0
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes19984.2¢100¢$199+$31$0
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?No19873.2¢100¢$198+$53$0
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?No18798.8¢100¢$187+$2.25$0
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?No18384.8¢100¢$183+$28$0
Somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?No17875.5¢100¢$178+$44$0
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No16482.3¢100¢$164+$29$0
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No15577.7¢100¢$155+$35$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No20056¢75.5¢$151+$39$0
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? No15074.5¢100¢$150+$38$0
No one announced as next James Bond?Yes14048¢100¢$140+$73$0
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?No14826.6¢90.1¢$133+$94$0
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?No12192¢100¢$121+$9.68$0
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? No10971.1¢100¢$109+$32$0
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No10088¢100¢$100+$12$0
Will Ausar Thompson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No10099.6¢100¢$100+$0.40$0
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?Yes10025¢100¢$100+$75$0
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?No10080¢100¢$100+$20$0
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No10090¢100¢$100+$10$0
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?No10091¢100¢$100+$9.00$0
Will the Sacramento Kings win more than 32.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No10094.4¢100¢$100+$5.60$0
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes10075¢100¢$100+$25$0
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?No10094¢100¢$100+$6.00$0
Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?No10096.9¢97.8¢$98+$0.90$0
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?No10062¢95.4¢$95+$33$0
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?No9583.4¢100¢$95+$16$0
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?No10084¢92.5¢$93+$8.50$0
Will Reed Sheppard win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?No9092.4¢100¢$90+$6.86$0
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes8939.4¢100¢$89+$54$0
Will Josh Giddey win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No8790.1¢100¢$87+$8.58$0
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No8181¢100¢$81+$15$0
Will Evan Mobley win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No8089.2¢100¢$80+$8.64$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes27643.6¢24.5¢$68−$53$0
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027?No6890.2¢93.5¢$64+$2.22$0
Will Amen Thompson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No6395.9¢100¢$63+$2.57$0
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes6081¢100¢$60+$11$0
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?No5664.1¢100¢$56+$20$0
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?No5594.4¢100¢$55+$3.08$0
Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?No5585.2¢99.1¢$54+$7.61−$211
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes5462¢100¢$54+$21$0
Will Anfernee Simons win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?No5095¢100¢$50+$2.50$0
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?No5097.1¢100¢$50+$1.45$0
Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?No5043¢100¢$50+$29$0
Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?No5095.2¢100¢$50+$2.40$0
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No5095¢100¢$50+$2.50$0
Will The Smashing Machine win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?No5091¢100¢$50+$4.50$0
Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes4682.4¢100¢$46+$8.08−$130
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No6380.9¢71.7¢$45−$5.85$0
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?No4589.7¢100¢$45+$4.61$0
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?Yes4412¢100¢$44+$38$0
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?No4686.2¢94.7¢$43+$3.85$0
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No4071¢100¢$40+$12$0
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No4047¢100¢$40+$21$0
Will the Denver Nuggets finish with the best record in the NBA?No4098¢100¢$40+$0.80$0
Will the Miami Heat win more than 37.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes4094.6¢100¢$40+$2.17$0
Will Justin Bieber drop out as a Coachella 2026 Headliner?No4094.7¢100¢$40+$2.14$0
Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?No4178.4¢96.8¢$39+$7.50$0
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?No4089¢97.8¢$39+$3.52$0
Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?No4097.2¢95.9¢$38−$0.54$0
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?No4097.6¢95.4¢$38−$0.90$0
Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?No4089¢95¢$38+$2.40$0
Will James Harden lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No3899.1¢100¢$38+$0.34$0
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No4191.1¢91.1¢$37−$0.04$0
Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027?No3982¢92.3¢$36+$3.99$0
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No3516¢95¢$33+$28$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027?No3582.2¢94¢$33+$4.12$0
Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?No3193.4¢100¢$31+$2.05$0
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?No2597.4¢97.3¢$24−$0.03$0
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No4283.3¢54.7¢$23−$12$0
Will the Houston Rockets finish with the best record in the NBA?No2197.8¢100¢$21+$0.46$0
Will Payton Pritchard lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?No2099.6¢100¢$20+$0.08$0
Will Rudy Gobert lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?No2097.9¢100¢$20+$0.42$0
Will Toumani Camara lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?No2094.6¢100¢$20+$1.08$0
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes2047¢100¢$20+$11$0
Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No2099.8¢100¢$20+$0.04$0
Will the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?No2069¢100¢$20+$6.20$0
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes2065¢100¢$20+$7.00$0
Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?No2081¢99.5¢$20+$3.69$0
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?No2052¢98.6¢$20+$9.31$0
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?No2090¢96.9¢$19+$1.38$0
Will the Indiana Pacers have the worst record in the NBA?No1994.7¢100¢$19+$1.00$0
Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2027?No2083¢92.7¢$19+$1.94$0
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No2038¢91.5¢$18+$11$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Axiom be accused of insider trading?38.1¢1,095$41757%38
BUY YesWill Axiom be accused of insider trading?38.1¢603$23057%38
BUY YesWill LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?0.8¢30$0.2457%38
BUY YesWill the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?22.7¢135$3157%38
BUY YesWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?11.4¢25$2.8057%38
BUY YesOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?12.6¢180$2357%38
BUY YesWill Rudy Gobert lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?3¢25$0.7457%38
BUY YesWill Toumani Camara lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?6.4¢40$2.5657%38
BUY YesParadex FDV above $3B one day after launch?7.7¢100$7.7057%38
BUY NoWill John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?99.4¢25$2557%38
BUY NoWill Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?98.9¢100$9957%38
BUY YesWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $106 end of November?41¢100$4157%38
BUY YesWill the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?72¢10$7.2057%38
BUY NoRanger FDV above $20M one day after launch?22¢9$1.9757%38
BUY NoWill The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?78¢200$15657%38
BUY NoWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?80¢100$8057%38
BUY NoWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?38¢50$1957%38
BUY NoWill Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?30.9¢50$1557%38
BUY YesWill Airbnb (ABNB) close above $120 end of November?14¢50$7.0057%38
BUY YesWill Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?11.9¢100$1257%38