PnL all-time+$2,537vol $229k
PnL 30d+$923gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$86win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate94.8%adj 93.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$45.7kcash n/a
Positions7 / 574open / all-time
Max drawdown−39.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$4,275below peak $0Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
62/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 94.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity61
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance · Spainclosed+$1,675Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Noopen+$1,048US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? · Noclosed+$727Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$471Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Noclosed+$421
Worst markets
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Noopen−$1,261Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31? · Noclosed−$621US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Noclosed−$567Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP? · Noclosed−$419Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Noclosed−$290
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 32.3k | 94.6¢ | 97.9¢ | $31.6k | +$1,048 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 8,307 | 94.5¢ | 97.2¢ | $8,070 | +$218 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 6,000 | 89.5¢ | 97.4¢ | $5,841 | +$471 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 140 | 90¢ | 79.5¢ | $111 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | No | 77 | 85¢ | 80¢ | $62 | −$3.85 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 15 | 82¢ | 36.5¢ | $5.47 | −$6.83 | $0 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 1,375 | 91.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,261 | $0 |
Recent trades
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