sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,564

DirkDiggler67

0xaab…a08d
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$120kvol $6.64M
PnL 30d+$870gains $4,641 · losses $8,903
PnL 7d+$278win rate 7d 18.5%
Win rate51.1%adj 51.1% · 30d 26.3%
Open value$60.5kcash n/a
Positions63 / 944open / all-time
Max drawdown−40.2%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 10h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$123kbelow peak −$70.0kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

62/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 51.1% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity60

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 63

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No20.4k34.5¢41.5¢$8,484+$1,432+$361
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes54.2k13¢15.5¢$8,404+$1,356$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes28.0k26.9¢17.5¢$4,896−$2,632−$63
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes18.5k49.9¢22¢$4,072−$5,168−$429
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?No3,51361.9¢94.5¢$3,320+$1,147$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?Yes5,84633.3¢53¢$3,099+$1,152$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes5,21532.7¢50.7¢$2,644+$939+$1,916
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes5,89340.5¢41.5¢$2,446+$57−$96
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No6,58642.9¢36.5¢$2,404−$425−$88
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes110k1.8¢1.9¢$2,091+$75+$20
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No2,12386¢95.5¢$2,027+$202$0
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No1,71571.2¢95.3¢$1,634+$413$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No1,64082.2¢93.5¢$1,533+$185−$837
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes3,66619¢37.5¢$1,375+$679+$534
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No1,15029.6¢82.5¢$949+$609$0
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?No1,00262.7¢83¢$832+$204−$223
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?No95450¢87¢$830+$353$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No1,99329.5¢38.5¢$767+$179+$1.14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes4,44436.5¢15.5¢$689−$933$0
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Yes3,12039¢20.5¢$640−$577$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No3,15720.3¢19.5¢$616−$25−$14
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?Yes2,39127.5¢25.5¢$610−$47$0
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes1,80547.7¢29.1¢$525−$336$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,44414.5¢11.5¢$511−$133$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?No55575.1¢90.1¢$500+$84$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?No52663.2¢90¢$474+$141$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Yes53183.7¢86.5¢$459+$15$0
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?No41382.8¢87.5¢$362+$19$0
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No2,19213¢15.5¢$340+$55$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes1,11134¢29.5¢$328−$50$0
Kash Patel out by October 31?No33184¢97.6¢$323+$45−$1.42
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes1,40123.1¢21¢$294−$29$0
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No55560¢45.5¢$253−$80$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?Yes63133¢36.5¢$230+$22$0
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No21555.3¢82¢$176+$57+$81
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?No23745¢64.5¢$153+$46$0
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?No13476.2¢96.3¢$129+$27+$224
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,3284¢5.5¢$127+$35+$45
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo28332¢38.5¢$109+$18$0
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?No10266.6¢98.4¢$100+$32−$28
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Yes3,3524.4¢2.9¢$96−$51$0
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Yes29734.5¢31.5¢$94−$9.03−$5.92
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?No9372¢93.7¢$87+$20$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes22629.5¢37.5¢$85+$18+$9.99
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?Yes1,8487.7¢3.9¢$71−$72$0
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?No6751.4¢88¢$59+$24$0
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No6065.6¢86¢$52+$12−$37
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?No19720.5¢24.5¢$48+$7.78$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?No4460¢88¢$39+$12$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?No4158¢93.4¢$38+$15$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?No3849¢87.5¢$34+$15$0
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?No3661¢87¢$31+$9.39$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?No1944¢88.5¢$17+$8.54$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No1781¢96.4¢$17+$2.65+$88
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes3,93012.9¢0.1¢$3.93−$504$0
Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?Yes343.1¢5.6¢$1.91+$0.85$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No728¢26.5¢$1.84−$0.10$0
Will Taylor Rogers be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3392.9¢0¢$0−$9.98$0
Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3392.9¢0¢$0−$9.98$0
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3392.9¢0¢$0−$9.98$0
Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3392.9¢0¢$0−$9.98$0
Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3392.9¢0¢$0−$9.98$0
Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2592.9¢0¢$0−$7.62+$38

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?29.9¢3,916$1,17051%62
BUY NoWill Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary?94.8¢80$7651%62
BUY YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?34¢611$20851%62
BUY YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?33¢165$5451%62
SELL YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?58.3¢327$19151%62
SELL YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?59.1¢1,111$65751%62
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?33¢631$20851%62
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?13¢54.2k$7,04851%62
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?83.7¢531$44451%62
BUY NoWill the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?82.8¢413$34251%62
BUY NoKash Patel out by October 31?84¢335$28151%62
SELL YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?58.1¢5$2.9751%62
BUY NoGovernment shutdown by October 1?99.3¢342$34051%62
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?33.4¢552$18451%62
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?33.3¢6,440$2,14451%62
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?31.6¢395$12551%62
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?1¢197k$1,96951%62
BUY NoMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?81.9¢1,828$1,49751%62
BUY YesPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?23¢1,357$31251%62
BUY YesPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?22¢452$9951%62