PnL all-time−$63vol $128k
PnL 30d+$30gains $27 · losses $0.84
PnL 7d+$31win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate55.6%adj 52.6% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$550cash n/a
Positions4 / 22open / all-time
Max drawdown−6.7%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 19h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$64below peak −$42Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 55.6% · shrunk toward 50%32
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable45
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity93
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$27Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$8.40Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars? · Yesclosed+$7.78Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election? · Yesclosed+$4.622024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House · Yesclosed+$2.13
Worst markets
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$45Biden wins the Popular Vote? · Yesclosed−$40Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yesclosed−$14Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Noclosed−$6.39Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$5.50
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 382 | 96.8¢ | 96.8¢ | $370 | −$0.19 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 185 | 97.5¢ | 97.5¢ | $180 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 15 | 39.6¢ | 3.6¢ | $0.54 | −$5.46 | $0 | |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7? | Yes | 7 | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.33 | $0 |
Recent trades
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