sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,288

SlenderMan

0xab1…4876
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$229kvol $71.0M
PnL 30d+$30.0kgains $84.0k · losses $1,479
PnL 7d+$8,602win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate74.5%adj 73.4% · 30d 88.9%
Open value$445kcash n/a
Positions18 / 518open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$196kbelow peak −$422kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 74.5% · shrunk toward 50%84
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No150k83.1¢91¢$136k+$11.8k+$1,719
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No130k83.4¢84.5¢$110k+$1,445+$1,000
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No94.3k68.2¢73¢$68.9k+$4,500+$51
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No48.3k96.8¢96.8¢$46.8k−$15−$11.8k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No37.7k83.3¢90.5¢$34.1k+$2,718$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No17.3k46.9¢83.5¢$14.4k+$6,319+$579
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No12.0k83.6¢93.5¢$11.2k+$1,190+$364
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes6,97889.8¢94¢$6,560+$296+$671
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No6,42370.7¢84.5¢$5,427+$886$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No4,64596.1¢97.5¢$4,529+$65$0
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No4,19375.4¢88.5¢$3,711+$549$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No2,12577.2¢77.5¢$1,647+$5.38−$972
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?No1,31646¢73.5¢$967+$362$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No62750¢85.5¢$536+$222$0
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?No30792¢94¢$289+$6.15$0
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No41770¢65.5¢$273−$19$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?No10793¢94.5¢$101+$1.60$0
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2027?No3268¢77.5¢$25+$3.03$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?96.8¢2,124$2,05675%40
BUY YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?4¢1,282$5175%40
SELL NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?96¢2,400$2,30475%40
SELL NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?99.6¢2,138$2,12975%40
SELL NoNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?71¢14.5k$10.3k75%40Whale
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?83¢15.5k$12.9k75%40Whale
SELL YesUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?99.9¢2,300$2,29875%40
SELL NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?92¢7,177$6,60375%40
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?98.9¢2,240$2,21675%40
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?99.8¢329$32975%40
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?99.4¢300$29875%40
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?99.2¢110$10975%40
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?99.2¢200$19875%40
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?97¢21.5k$20.8k75%40Whale
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?88¢454$40075%40
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?88¢39.0k$34.3k75%40Whale
BUY YesWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?99.9¢275$27575%40
BUY YesWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?99.9¢25.0k$24.9k75%40Whale
BUY YesWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?99.8¢1,297$1,29575%40
BUY YesWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?99.6¢1,383$1,37875%40