sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,576

qizhan

0xac3…c04f@ZhangQizhan
PnL 10k+<30d oldPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$10.5kvol $360k
PnL 30d+$11.4kgains $11.1k · losses $5,872
PnL 7d+$5,766win rate 7d 83.3%
Win rate58.2%adj 56.0% · 30d 58.2%
Open value$88.9kcash n/a
Positions58 / 114open / all-time
Max drawdown−32.5%of equity peak
Account age24dlast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$11.7kbelow peak −$245Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

52/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 58.2% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable69
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 58

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No34.8k67¢63.5¢$22.1k−$1,212$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes14.5k76.3¢84.5¢$12.3k+$1,184$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes10.7k85.2¢85.7¢$9,151+$48+$5,530
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No10.0k83.8¢84.5¢$8,450+$70$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes9,05565.1¢63.5¢$5,750−$146$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No9,04964.7¢63.5¢$5,746−$108$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No5,00084¢84.5¢$4,225+$25−$0.30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No4,02786.8¢88.5¢$3,564+$70$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No3,81292¢90.5¢$3,450−$57$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes3,00087¢90.5¢$2,715+$105$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes2,93670¢71.5¢$2,099+$44$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes2,26375.6¢79.5¢$1,799+$88−$22
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?No1,60076.8¢72.8¢$1,165−$63$0
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes1,12478¢73.5¢$826−$51−$0.08
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,10359.5¢71.3¢$786+$130$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No88771¢71¢$630+$0.01$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes1,25028¢38.5¢$481+$131$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes65233.9¢57.8¢$377+$156$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Yes1,09736.6¢33¢$362−$40$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No37966¢78.5¢$297+$47$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No65828¢38.5¢$253+$69$0
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Yes57136¢40.5¢$231+$26$0
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No25086¢86.5¢$216+$1.25$0
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,30123.7¢16.3¢$211−$97−$16
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No19183¢91.5¢$175+$16$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No30055¢57.5¢$172+$7.50$0
Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat?No15096¢96.5¢$145+$0.75$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes22861¢63.5¢$145+$5.70$0
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?No15382.9¢93.2¢$142+$16$0
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?No15188¢87¢$131−$1.51$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No19959.1¢58.5¢$116−$1.11$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes34447¢25.5¢$88−$74$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes36725¢22¢$81−$11$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No8186¢94.5¢$76+$6.86$0
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Yes7596¢97.7¢$73+$1.28$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,4090.6¢1.4¢$73+$41$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No9957¢65.5¢$65+$8.41$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No5887¢90¢$52+$1.74$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No9937.8¢51.6¢$51+$14$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No4093¢93¢$38$0$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No4088¢89.5¢$36+$0.60$0
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No3165¢75.5¢$23+$3.20$0
Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?No9864¢19.5¢$19−$44$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes5531.7¢26¢$14−$3.12$0
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Yes1495.9¢97.1¢$14+$0.17$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?No3220¢37¢$12+$5.41$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes1454¢77.5¢$11+$3.31−$16
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes1098¢8.5¢$9.26+$0.54$0
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes3726¢23.5¢$8.63−$0.92$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes7013¢8.5¢$5.98−$3.17$0
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No676¢80.5¢$4.83+$0.27$0
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Yes3120¢13.5¢$4.14−$1.99$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes319.1¢4.1¢$1.25−$1.56$0
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1024.9¢12.4¢$1.25−$1.26$0
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Yes1521¢7.5¢$1.14−$2.05$0
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No48¢7.5¢$0.32−$0.02$0
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Yes315¢7.5¢$0.23−$0.23+$3.50
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes34065.9¢0¢$0−$224$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85.2¢10.7k$9,10358%52
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?85¢10$8.5058%52
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?64¢5$3.2058%52
SELL YesWill Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?77¢1$0.7758%52
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?66¢4,055$2,67658%52
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?87¢277$24158%52
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?87¢1,250$1,08858%52
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83.7¢104$8758%52
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 6.1 or more?99.9¢10$1058%52
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?99.9¢5$5.0058%52
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?63¢421$26558%52
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?64¢3,000$1,92058%52
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?83¢1,750$1,45358%52
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?84¢3,000$2,52058%52
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?84¢5,000$4,20058%52
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?62.1¢3,046$1,89258%52
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?64¢130$8358%52
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?57.1¢1,112$63558%52
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?57.1¢1,534$87658%52
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?58.2¢5,366$3,12558%52