PnL all-time+$606vol $127k
PnL 30d−$4.33gains $1,502 · losses $809
PnL 7d−$0.48win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate61.1%adj 55.3% · 30d 60.0%
Open value$1,027cash n/a
Positions9 / 27open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.1%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$91below peak −$83Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale40
Adjusted win rateraw 61.1% · shrunk toward 50%38
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable48
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity90
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Noclosed+$2,061Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? · Noclosed+$800Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Noclosed+$702TikTok sale announced by September 30? · Noclosed+$16Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yesclosed+$5.01
Worst markets
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yesclosed−$2,073Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? · Yesclosed−$800Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yesopen−$704Will Jan van Aken be the next Chancellor of Germany? · Yesclosed−$40Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany? · Yesclosed−$12
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1,019 | 98.1¢ | 98.1¢ | $999 | −$0.51 | $0 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 1,444 | 50¢ | 1.3¢ | $18 | −$704 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 25 | 28¢ | 19.9¢ | $4.96 | −$2.04 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 28 | 36¢ | 16.5¢ | $4.57 | −$5.43 | $0 | |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Yes | 45 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 33 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.20 | $0 | |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | Yes | 22 | 45.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | $0 | |
| ICE shooter charged by March 31? | Yes | 6 | 32¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds? | Yes | 6 | 90¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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