sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #2,814

haveagoodday

0xae2…384d
PnL 10k+PoliticsSportWeatherOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$10.4kvol $673k
PnL 30d+$8,062gains $1,700 · losses $810
PnL 7d+$9,819win rate 7d 32.7%
Win rate32.7%adj 33.7% · 30d 32.7%
Open value$103cash n/a
Positions2,000 / 8,905open / all-time
Max drawdown−32.3%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 39s ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$44.8kbelow peak −$16.7kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

55/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 32.7% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Noclosed+$145Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · Noclosed+$137Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? · Noclosed+$134Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 8? · Noclosed+$121Will Gemini Argon be released on or prior to October 8, 2026? · Noclosed+$108

Worst markets

Will Moderate Party (M) win less than 16% of all valid votes? · Yesopen−$165Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? · Yesopen−$165Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? · Yesopen−$116Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 25m? · Yesopen−$116Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? · Yesopen−$116

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?Yes644¢30.9¢$20+$17$0
Will a team from another region win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?Yes5514.3¢25.8¢$14+$6.31$0
Will Mistral be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes852.9¢6.6¢$5.61+$3.11$0
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 14, 2026?Yes854¢6.1¢$5.18+$1.78$0
Will NiP win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes1002.9¢4.4¢$4.35+$1.41$0
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANAI?Yes4795¢0.8¢$3.59−$20$0
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 11, 2026?Yes754¢3.3¢$2.44−$0.56$0
Will Atlético Madrid finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes702.4¢3.4¢$2.38+$0.71$0
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ARPC?Yes2685¢0.7¢$1.74−$12$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 15%-18%?Yes307.7¢5¢$1.49−$0.82$0
Will Ola Brynhildsen score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Yes100.8¢12.8¢$1.28+$1.20$0
Will Microsoft be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes852.9¢0.9¢$0.72−$1.78$0
Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes669.1¢1¢$0.66−$5.32$0
Will SNSD win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes182.9¢3.7¢$0.64+$0.12$0
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes1,2512.1¢0.1¢$0.63−$26$0
Will Rachel peak at Category 2?Yes4023.7¢1.4¢$0.54−$8.96$0
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0601.1¢0.1¢$0.53−$11$0
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0601.1¢0.1¢$0.53−$11$0
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0601.1¢0.1¢$0.53−$11$0
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0601.1¢0.1¢$0.53−$11$0
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0601.1¢0.1¢$0.53−$11$0
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0601.1¢0.1¢$0.53−$11$0
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0601.1¢0.1¢$0.53−$11$0
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0501.1¢0.1¢$0.53−$11−$0.10
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0501.1¢0.1¢$0.53−$11−$0.10
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Yes1953.6¢0.3¢$0.49−$6.60$0
Will SDS win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes792.9¢0.6¢$0.47−$1.85$0
Will Arsenal finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes142.4¢3.1¢$0.42+$0.09$0
Will Bytedance be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes102.9¢4.1¢$0.41+$0.12$0
Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes669.1¢0.5¢$0.33−$5.65$0
Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes669.1¢0.5¢$0.33−$5.65$0
Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes669.1¢0.5¢$0.33−$5.65$0
Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes669.1¢0.5¢$0.33−$5.65$0
Will MiniMax have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes2053.1¢0.2¢$0.31−$6.10$0
Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes669.1¢0.5¢$0.30−$5.68$0
Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes189.1¢1.5¢$0.27−$1.37$0
Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes603.1¢0.4¢$0.24−$1.64$0
Will Croatia win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Yes4635.3¢0.1¢$0.23−$24$0
Will Wales win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Yes4635.3¢0.1¢$0.23−$24$0
Will Steffen Krach be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes853.1¢0.3¢$0.21−$2.44$0
Will "Wonka's The Golden Ticket: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes2010¢1.1¢$0.21−$1.79$0
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + SD?Yes504.8¢0.4¢$0.20−$2.18$0
Will Rachel peak at Category 1 or weaker?Yes4023.7¢0.5¢$0.20−$9.30$0
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes1163.3¢0.2¢$0.17−$3.67$0
Will Baidu be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes102.9¢1.7¢$0.17−$0.12$0
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes29120¢0.1¢$0.15−$58$0
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes29120¢0.1¢$0.15−$58$0
Will LASK finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes952.4¢0.2¢$0.14−$2.11$0
Will Napoli finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes902.4¢0.2¢$0.14−$2.01$0
Will Feyenoord finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes902.4¢0.2¢$0.14−$2.01$0
Will Sabah finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes902.4¢0.2¢$0.14−$2.01$0
Will Shakhtar Donetsk finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes902.4¢0.2¢$0.14−$2.01$0
Will Viking finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes902.4¢0.2¢$0.14−$2.01$0
Will Borussia Dortmund finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes902.4¢0.2¢$0.14−$2.01$0
Will Kristin Brinker be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes903.1¢0.2¢$0.14−$2.68$0
Will AEK Athens finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes902.4¢0.2¢$0.14−$2.01$0
Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2652.5¢0.1¢$0.13−$6.49$0
Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2652.5¢0.1¢$0.13−$6.49$0
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2652.5¢0.1¢$0.13−$6.49$0
Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2652.5¢0.1¢$0.13−$6.49$0
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2652.5¢0.1¢$0.13−$6.49$0
Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2652.5¢0.1¢$0.13−$6.49$0
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2652.5¢0.1¢$0.13−$6.49$0
Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes1010¢1.2¢$0.12−$0.88$0
Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes189.1¢0.7¢$0.12−$1.52$0
Will Huang Kuo-chang win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes2223.3¢0.1¢$0.11−$7.30$0
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes2221.3¢0.1¢$0.11−$2.87$0
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes2221.3¢0.1¢$0.11−$2.87$0
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes2221.3¢0.1¢$0.11−$2.87$0
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes2221.3¢0.1¢$0.11−$2.87$0
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes2221.3¢0.1¢$0.11−$2.87$0
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes2221.3¢0.1¢$0.11−$2.87$0
Will VfB Stuttgart finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes702.4¢0.2¢$0.10−$1.56$0
Will Club Brugge finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes702.4¢0.2¢$0.10−$1.56$0
Will Fenerbahçe finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes702.4¢0.2¢$0.10−$1.56$0
Will RB Leipzig finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes702.4¢0.2¢$0.10−$1.56$0
Will Aston Villa finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes702.4¢0.2¢$0.10−$1.56$0
Will Lens finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes702.4¢0.2¢$0.10−$1.56$0
Will Sporting CP finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes702.4¢0.2¢$0.10−$1.56$0
Will Slavia Prague finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes702.4¢0.2¢$0.10−$1.56$0
Will Villarreal finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes702.4¢0.2¢$0.10−$1.56$0
Will Lille finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?Yes702.4¢0.2¢$0.10−$1.56$0
Will "The Great British Baking Show: Collection 14" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes1010¢1.1¢$0.10−$0.90$0
Will ByteDance have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes2053.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$6.30$0
Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes2053.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$6.30$0
Will Xiaomi have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes2053.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$6.30$0
Will Z.ai have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes2053.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$6.30$0
Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes2053.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$6.30$0
Will Nvidia have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes2053.1¢0.1¢$0.10−$6.30$0
Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1901.7¢0.1¢$0.09−$3.14$0
Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1901.7¢0.1¢$0.09−$3.14$0
Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1901.7¢0.1¢$0.09−$3.14$0
Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1901.7¢0.1¢$0.09−$3.14$0
Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1901.7¢0.1¢$0.09−$3.14$0
Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1901.7¢0.1¢$0.09−$3.14$0
Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1901.7¢0.1¢$0.09−$3.14$0
Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1901.7¢0.1¢$0.09−$3.14$0
Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1901.7¢0.1¢$0.09−$3.14$0
Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1901.7¢0.1¢$0.09−$3.14$0
Will Rafa Luz win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes1834.3¢0.1¢$0.09−$7.82$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 10?91.2¢10$9.1233%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 10?84¢30$2533%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 10?84¢10$8.4033%55
BUY NoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 18, 2026?99.9¢85$8533%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or higher on October 10?99.9¢10$9.9933%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 11?99.9¢10$9.9933%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 10?50¢15$7.5033%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 10?50¢10$5.0033%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 10?99.9¢10$9.9933%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 10?68¢30$2033%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 10?68¢10$6.8033%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on October 11?99.9¢10$9.9933%55
BUY NoWill Rose Jackson be the next Premier of New South Wales?97.8¢40$3933%55
BUY NoWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?98¢85$8333%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on October 10?99.8¢10$9.9833%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on October 10?53¢10$5.3033%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on October 10?97.7¢30$2933%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on October 11?97¢5$4.8533%55
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 11?51¢10$5.1033%55
SELL YesWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?2.7¢0$033%55