sharpside
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Traders/Rank #14,702

honduraslover

0xaff…6ecc
WR 70+WR 60+SportCryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$105kvol $8.94M
PnL 30d−$1,368gains $1,464 · losses $485
PnL 7d−$1,300win rate 7d 72.6%
Win rate73.8%adj 72.9% · 30d 73.8%
Open value$7,936cash n/a
Positions2,000 / 15,264open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 37m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

57/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 73.8% · shrunk toward 50%82
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yesopen+$405Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Noopen+$403Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? · Noopen+$330Will United States win on 2026-06-25? · Yesopen+$324Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yesopen+$127

Worst markets

Will Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? · Yesopen−$8,327Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? · Yesopen−$3,472Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? · Noopen−$3,253Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yesopen−$3,194Lightning vs. Canadiens · Lightningopen−$3,146

Open positions · 57

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?No1,02433.4¢93¢$953+$610−$207
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No96793.2¢97.1¢$938+$37−$0.90
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-31?Yes1,93342¢41.5¢$802−$9.66$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No77678.1¢94.5¢$733+$127−$2.45
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-31?Yes1,91631¢30.5¢$584−$9.58$0
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No42498¢98.7¢$418+$2.75−$0.37
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No1,14648.2¢31.5¢$361−$191−$32
Trump out as President before 2027?No35888.1¢96.2¢$344+$29+$2.16
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No24692.4¢95.5¢$234+$7.58−$17
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,14618.5¢19.5¢$223+$11−$0.61
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,48018.1¢12.7¢$187−$81−$10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No28059¢64.5¢$180+$15$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No17363.9¢94.5¢$163+$53+$53
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes22939.2¢70.5¢$162+$72$0
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?No13431.1¢95.3¢$128+$86−$102
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes8,9292.1¢1.4¢$121−$66−$11
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No15554.4¢68.5¢$106+$22+$0.06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No10988¢96.2¢$105+$8.89−$74
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes31563.9¢33¢$104−$98−$1,019
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No8797.5¢98.4¢$86+$0.77+$0.16
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?No8492.1¢93.5¢$79+$1.14−$26
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No7285.3¢87.4¢$63+$1.50+$0.38
Iran leadership change by December 31?No7164.3¢85.5¢$61+$15−$7.48
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes2,0357¢2.9¢$60−$82−$3.98
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes2,2529.5¢2.5¢$55−$159−$252
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No5988.5¢91.1¢$54+$1.54−$0.68
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No7937.3¢67.1¢$53+$24+$18
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No5668.6¢92.5¢$51+$13−$2.89
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No5580.2¢80.6¢$45+$0.18−$3.07
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No3991.1¢97.6¢$38+$2.50+$66
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes12051.9¢31.5¢$38−$24−$254
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No4153.9¢79.5¢$33+$11+$1.16
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?No2444.1¢94¢$22+$12−$45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No2296¢97.2¢$21+$0.25+$3.75
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes4234.9¢40.5¢$17+$2.37+$0.82
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?No2184.1¢81.5¢$17−$0.53$0
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes20731.3¢7.5¢$16−$49−$44
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No1599.9¢100¢$15+$0.01$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes24713.9¢5.5¢$14−$21−$67
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No1451.4¢94.1¢$13+$5.94−$0.09
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes1853.1¢69.5¢$12+$2.88−$1.56
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?Yes1861.4¢63.5¢$11+$0.36$0
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes22920.8¢4.5¢$10−$37+$0.07
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?Yes1479.5¢74.5¢$10−$0.68$0
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-30?Yes2735¢34.5¢$9.34−$0.14$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes27014.8¢3.3¢$8.77−$31−$27
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes2802.8¢2.8¢$7.84−$0.01−$41
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes2737¢28.5¢$7.66−$2.29−$98
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes3233.1¢14.5¢$4.63−$5.94−$23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes1616.5¢17.5¢$2.88+$0.16−$37
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No1513¢17.5¢$2.69+$0.69$0
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes3127.2¢7¢$2.19−$6.31−$31
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes6880.8¢0.3¢$1.72−$3.78$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes2913.7¢5.5¢$1.62−$2.42−$1.10
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes1001¢1.5¢$1.45+$0.45$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes375.7¢3.9¢$1.44−$0.68−$91
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2,7500.2¢0.1¢$1.38−$4.12$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?75¢52$3974%57
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?46¢2$1.0074%57
BUY OverAbha Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.599¢1$1.0074%57
BUY FURIACounter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner42¢2$1.0074%57
BUY Valentin VacherotSwiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot39¢3$1.0074%57
BUY UpDogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET82¢1$1.0074%57
BUY DownDogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET66¢2$1.0074%57
SELL DownDogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET68¢2$1.3374%57
BUY YesWill an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?32¢3$1.0074%57
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?32¢3$1.0074%57
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?46¢2$1.0074%57
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?46¢2$1.0074%57
BUY DownDogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET51¢2$1.0074%57
BUY DownDogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET90¢1$1.0074%57
SELL UpDogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET13¢2$0.2874%57
BUY UpDogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET46¢2$1.0074%57
BUY VitalityCounter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner46¢2$1.0074%57
SELL DownDogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET1¢2$0.0274%57
BUY DownDogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET48¢2$1.0074%57
SELL Petr Bar BiryukovNingbo: Jie Cui vs Petr Bar Biryukov86¢2$1.4074%57