PnL all-time+$548vol $137k
PnL 30d+$1,643gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$273win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$105kcash n/a
Positions8 / 20open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.5%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 4mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$12.7kbelow peak −$159Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale39
Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 25.3k | 80.2¢ | 97.2¢ | $24.6k | +$4,295 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 24.2k | 86.5¢ | 97.8¢ | $23.7k | +$2,727 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 21.2k | 92.2¢ | 97.4¢ | $20.6k | +$1,090 | $0 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 17.0k | 84.6¢ | 96¢ | $16.3k | +$1,932 | $0 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 12.0k | 84.5¢ | 96¢ | $11.6k | +$1,379 | $0 | |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 4,508 | 88¢ | 95.5¢ | $4,305 | +$338 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 4,000 | 91¢ | 99.7¢ | $3,986 | +$346 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 139 | 91.9¢ | 100¢ | $139 | +$11 | $0 |
Recent trades
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