sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Unranked

Jjw

0xb1a…d308
SharpPnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$11.4kvol $1.65M
PnL 30d+$1,768gains $2,187 · losses $550
PnL 7d+$128win rate 7d 62.5%
Win rate79.6%adj 78.5% · 30d 73.1%
Open value$63.5kcash n/a
Positions53 / 2,221open / all-time
Max drawdown−31.4%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$13.5kbelow peak −$282Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

77/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 79.6% · shrunk toward 50%96
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity69

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$801Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$432Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed+$422Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$411Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election? · Noclosed+$398

Worst markets

US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? · Yesclosed−$2,240Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$1,243Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yesclosed−$413Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? · Yesclosed−$401Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$339

Open positions · 53

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo6,58289.9¢91.5¢$6,023+$108$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No4,29893.2¢94.5¢$4,061+$56−$54
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes3,70994.5¢98.4¢$3,647+$144$0
Iran leadership change by October 31?No3,61296.1¢97.8¢$3,531+$58+$23
GTA VI released by November 30?Yes3,52892.9¢95.7¢$3,375+$97$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?No3,38294.9¢97.2¢$3,285+$76$0
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes2,66396.4¢98.9¢$2,632+$64$0
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?No2,70492.6¢94.5¢$2,555+$53$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?No2,43596.6¢96.5¢$2,349−$3.45$0
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?No2,13493.5¢94.5¢$2,017+$22$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No2,06097.1¢97.9¢$2,016+$15$0
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?No1,88691.6¢97¢$1,830+$102$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No1,93694¢94.5¢$1,829+$9.68$0
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?No1,82685.2¢96.9¢$1,770+$213+$51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No1,82591.8¢96.7¢$1,764+$89−$60
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?No1,68292.4¢92¢$1,548−$7.56$0
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?No1,57593.5¢93.2¢$1,468−$4.27$0
Cornell President out by October 31?No1,39495.4¢97¢$1,351+$21$0
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No1,44680¢84.5¢$1,222+$65+$75
Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?Yes1,16695.5¢98.3¢$1,146+$33$0
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No1,32076¢80.5¢$1,063+$60+$25
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic1,10696.8¢95.8¢$1,060−$11+$238
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No1,11191.4¢92.3¢$1,025+$9.68+$7.82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?Yes1,43472¢71¢$1,018−$14$0
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No1,05096¢96.4¢$1,012+$4.20$0
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?No91991.1¢95.4¢$877+$39+$48
Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?Yes84095¢98.4¢$827+$29+$9.55
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes66294¢95.9¢$635+$13$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No65595.1¢95.8¢$627+$4.04$0
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?Yes63495¢96.8¢$614+$11$0
Tennessee makes electric chair execution default in 2026?No58891.7¢97.1¢$571+$32$0
Greenland snap election called by December 31?No55594.9¢94.9¢$526−$0.10$0
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?No52795.4¢95.3¢$502−$0.71$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes60483¢76.5¢$462−$39−$1,204
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No42095.9¢97.8¢$411+$7.77$0
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?Yes38194.2¢96.8¢$369+$9.72$0
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?No42684.2¢86¢$366+$7.86$0
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Yes37694¢93¢$350−$3.76$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?No32195¢98.6¢$316+$11$0
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?Yes25295¢98.7¢$249+$9.32$0
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?Yes26095.4¢94.6¢$246−$2.21$0
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?No18194.5¢95¢$172+$0.76$0
Amelia Earhart’s plane found by December 31, 2026?No18091¢85¢$153−$11$0
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No16186.9¢87¢$140+$0.16$0
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes14991.7¢88¢$131−$5.53$0
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No12584.1¢88.5¢$111+$5.53$0
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?No10989.7¢89¢$97−$0.79$0
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes9174¢75¢$68+$0.93$0
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes6196¢97¢$59+$0.58$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $75 by December 31, 2026?Yes5487.6¢65.6¢$35−$12−$0.08
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes18219¢6.5¢$12−$23$0
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?Yes948¢5.5¢$5.17−$2.35+$0.82
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes18995.2¢0.4¢$0.76−$179$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoCornell President out by October 31?97.4¢264$25780%77Sharp
BUY NoCallum Turner announced as next James Bond?86.9¢161$14080%77Sharp
SELL YesWill Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?52¢180$9480%77Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?96¢180$17380%77Sharp
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?96.7¢500$48480%77Sharp
SELL YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?87.8¢25$2280%77Sharp
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?72¢1,434$1,03280%77Sharp
BUY YesWill "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?90¢80$7280%77Sharp
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?96.7¢620$60080%77Sharp
BUY NoTennessee makes electric chair execution default in 2026?95¢55$5280%77Sharp
BUY NoGreenland snap election called by December 31?95.2¢60$5780%77Sharp
BUY NoCornell President out by October 31?97¢160$15580%77Sharp
BUY NoWill OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?93.2¢30$2880%77Sharp
BUY NoWill OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?93.3¢54$5080%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?87¢22$1980%77Sharp
BUY NoTennessee makes electric chair execution default in 2026?95¢120$11480%77Sharp
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?96.5¢63$6180%77Sharp
BUY NoTennessee makes electric chair execution default in 2026?91¢60$5580%77Sharp
SELL NoWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?99.4¢3,910$3,88780%77Sharp
SELL NoWill Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?99.9¢2,014$2,01280%77Sharp