sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Unranked

bubububblebutt

0xb22…5f71
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,071vol $479k
PnL 30d+$198gains $1,187 · losses $1,033
PnL 7d−$271win rate 7d 73.7%
Win rate89.8%adj 88.3% · 30d 89.8%
Open value$10.6kcash n/a
Positions195 / 4,456open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$130below peak −$302Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 89.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1,13879.2¢87.6¢$997+$95+$1.99
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No1,00096.8¢97¢$970+$2.00+$38
VALORANT Champions 2026: Tier 2 Team to Qualify?No95190¢99¢$941+$85+$4.64
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No69780.3¢82.5¢$575+$15+$0.92
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No27181.1¢95.1¢$258+$38+$1.26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No26784.1¢94.5¢$253+$28−$185
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?No36956.8¢66.5¢$245+$36+$4.00
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?No25279¢90.5¢$228+$29+$1.15
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes25181.5¢90.2¢$226+$22$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No22183.9¢94.5¢$209+$23−$14
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31?No25455.2¢81.5¢$207+$67$0
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? No21088.3¢95.2¢$200+$14$0
Will 92 or more maps be played at VALORANT Champions 2026?No19999.3¢100¢$199+$1.21$0
Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026?No20280.3¢88.5¢$179+$17+$5.63
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?No17383.9¢87¢$151+$5.45$0
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?No15982.8¢94.5¢$150+$19$0
F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship?Yes17660¢59.5¢$104−$0.86+$0.76
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No11288¢89.5¢$100+$1.64$0
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?No10984.3¢87.5¢$95+$3.52$0
Who will finish higher: Albon or Jr.?Jr.9598.2¢98.6¢$94+$0.32$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No11662.7¢69.5¢$81+$7.89$0
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No8989.3¢90.1¢$80+$0.75$0
Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No8099.9¢100¢$80+$0.04$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?No8784.8¢89¢$77+$3.68$0
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?No8085.1¢95.3¢$76+$8.18$0
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?No9883¢77¢$75−$5.88$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No9175.9¢81.5¢$74+$5.13$0
Will something (PRX) have the most kills for Paper Rex at VALORANT Champions 2026?Yes7199.6¢99.5¢$71−$0.07$0
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?No7282.2¢96¢$69+$9.87$0
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No8583.8¢80.5¢$69−$2.78$0
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?No7474¢89¢$66+$11$0
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No6974.4¢92.2¢$64+$12$0
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No6280.2¢94.5¢$59+$8.93$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes5934¢98.1¢$57+$38$0
Will the VALORANT Champions 2026 champion go undefeated on maps in the Playoffs?No5898¢99¢$57+$0.56$0
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No5776.5¢96.5¢$55+$11+$2.33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No5091¢94.5¢$47+$1.75$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes5966.4¢78.5¢$46+$7.15$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No5180.1¢89¢$45+$4.53+$1.20
Will "Trump" be in the headlines this week?Yes4599.9¢100¢$45+$0.04$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?No5366¢85¢$45+$10$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes4688.1¢93.5¢$43+$2.48$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No4574¢91.5¢$41+$7.89$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No4378.1¢95.5¢$41+$7.48$0
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No4467.5¢89.1¢$40+$9.61$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No4969¢78.5¢$38+$4.66$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No4096.4¢96.7¢$38+$0.12+$1.76
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No4085¢95.5¢$38+$4.20$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No4470.8¢85.5¢$38+$6.50$0
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?Yes10041¢37.5¢$38−$3.50$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes5270.6¢71.6¢$37+$0.50−$59
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?No4085¢92.2¢$37+$2.88$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No4371.7¢85.5¢$37+$5.96$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?No4084¢90.5¢$36+$2.60$0
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?No3886.5¢93¢$35+$2.46$0
Will 84 or more maps be played at VALORANT Champions 2026?No604.3¢58.1¢$35+$32$0
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?No4470¢79.5¢$35+$4.16$0
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No4075¢85.5¢$34+$4.20$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?No3777¢92.5¢$34+$5.66$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?No4079¢81¢$32+$0.80$0
Will DetonatioN FocusMe Win an International Event in 2026?No3297.6¢99.5¢$32+$0.62$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No3494¢92.5¢$32−$0.51$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes3684¢85.5¢$31+$0.54$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes12963.4¢23.5¢$30−$51−$184
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No3284.2¢94.5¢$30+$3.28$0
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?No3485¢86.5¢$29+$0.51$0
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?No4742.9¢63¢$29+$9.42$0
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?No4077¢73.5¢$29−$1.40$0
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No3476¢86.5¢$29+$3.53$0
Will Trump meet with Andy Burnham by October 31, 2026?No2995¢98.6¢$29+$1.03$0
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?No3081¢95.5¢$29+$4.34$0
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?No3089¢93.5¢$28+$1.35$0
Will MIBR Win an International Event in 2026?No2896.8¢99.5¢$28+$0.74$0
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No2983.3¢95.4¢$28+$3.52$0
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?No2982¢94.9¢$28+$3.75$0
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No3093¢92¢$28−$0.30+$4.66
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei by October 31, 2026?No3085¢88¢$26+$0.90$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No2960.1¢89¢$26+$8.49$0
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?No3084¢85.5¢$26+$0.45$0
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes2684¢99.3¢$26+$3.94+$6.32
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?No2889¢93¢$26+$1.10$0
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes2586.9¢100¢$25+$3.33−$0.14
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?No3652¢71¢$25+$6.80+$4.72
Will TYLOO Win an International Event in 2026?No2595.7¢99.1¢$25+$0.82$0
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?No3752¢64.8¢$24+$4.78$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No2776.6¢88.5¢$24+$3.19$0
Will Summit be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?No2476¢99.9¢$24+$5.66$0
Natural Disaster in 2026?No2580¢92¢$23+$3.00$0
AI bubble burst in 2026?No2476.9¢93.9¢$23+$4.12$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.4T by October 31?Yes2589¢88.5¢$22−$0.13$0
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No2675¢85.5¢$22+$2.72$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes3083¢71.5¢$22−$3.50$0
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by October 31, 2026?No3550¢62¢$22+$4.19$0
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?No2778¢80.5¢$22+$0.67$0
Will a team from EMEA win VALORANT Champions 2026?No3096.7¢70.9¢$21−$7.74$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes5043¢42.5¢$21−$0.25$0
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No10019¢21¢$21+$2.00$0
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes2677¢79.5¢$21+$0.65$0
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Yes9046¢22.5¢$20−$21$0
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No2289.9¢92.6¢$20+$0.57$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY FalconsRavens vs. Falcons63¢10$6.3090%47
BUY YesWill "Trump" be in the headlines this week?99.9¢45$4590%47
BUY YesWill "Justice" or "Judge" be in the headlines this week?99.9¢7$6.5190%47
SELL RavensRavens vs. Falcons49¢36$1890%47
BUY YesWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?87.4¢11$1090%47
SELL 49ers49ers vs. Seahawks99.9¢25$2590%47
SELL 49ers49ers vs. Seahawks53¢8$4.3390%47
SELL 49ers49ers vs. Seahawks65¢33$2190%47
BUY NoIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?67¢19$1290%47
BUY YesWill there be no Hormuz agreement?89.9¢17$1590%47
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?77¢26$2090%47
BUY NoWill DetonatioN FocusMe Win an International Event in 2026?99.2¢12$1290%47
BUY NoWill MIBR Win an International Event in 2026?99.1¢8$8.2090%47
BUY NoWill 92 or more maps be played at VALORANT Champions 2026?99.3¢199$19890%47
SELL CommandersGiants vs. Commanders13.2¢35$4.6290%47
BUY OverBears vs. Packers: O/U 38.586¢1$1.0090%47
BUY PackersSpread: Bears (-5.5)98¢5$5.0090%47
BUY NoWill the biggest earthquake on October 11, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?99.9¢15$1590%47
BUY PackersBears vs. Packers73¢7$5.0090%47
BUY PackersBears vs. Packers73¢1$1.0090%47