sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

MrBPT

0xb22…2815
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Weather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,557vol $116k
PnL 30d+$1,658gains $3,280 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$125win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 98.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$3,006cash n/a
Positions68 / 744open / all-time
Max drawdown−22.2%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 44d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,615below peak −$153Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable96
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity78

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 68

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 12?No48294¢100¢$482+$29$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 13?No48894¢92.5¢$451−$7.32$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 13?No48894¢92¢$449−$9.76$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 12?No38794¢100¢$386+$23$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 12?No20494¢100¢$204+$12$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 12?No19494¢100¢$194+$12$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 13?No20893¢89¢$185−$8.33$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 13?No20895¢88.5¢$184−$13$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 12?No11394¢99.5¢$113+$6.18$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 13?No11495¢93.9¢$107−$1.25$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 13?No7094¢96¢$67+$1.40$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on October 12?No4495¢100¢$44+$2.19$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 12?No3194¢94.5¢$29+$0.15$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 12?No2894¢100¢$28+$1.67$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?No1795¢100¢$17+$0.83$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 12?No1695¢99.2¢$16+$0.68$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 12?No1695¢100¢$16+$0.80$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 13?No1593¢100¢$15+$1.04$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on October 12?No2194¢53.9¢$11−$8.57$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 12?No395¢100¢$3.00+$0.15$0
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?Yes2421¢4.5¢$1.07−$3.93$0
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?No621¢13.5¢$0.83−$0.46$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?No617¢6.2¢$0.36−$0.64$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?No618¢4.2¢$0.24−$0.81$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes1047.7¢1.2¢$0.12−$4.85$0
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes3115.1¢0.1¢$0.03−$4.69$0
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes92610.8¢0¢$0−$100−$2.68
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?No64193.5¢0¢$0−$599$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 8?No49895¢0¢$0−$473$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 23?No32993¢0¢$0−$306$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 25?No3190¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 15?No26793¢0¢$0−$249$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 12?No26594¢0¢$0−$249$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on August 2?No21593¢0¢$0−$200$0
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes1959.2¢0¢$0−$18−$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 8?No18896¢0¢$0−$180$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 29?No17293¢0¢$0−$160$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?No15394¢0¢$0−$144$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 30?No12493¢0¢$0−$115$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on August 24?No11293¢0¢$0−$104$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown10892¢0¢$0−$99$0
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?Yes10694¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 23, 2026?No10595¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 14?No9993¢0¢$0−$92$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 2?Yes833.6¢0¢$0−$2.98−$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 26?No8095¢0¢$0−$76$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?No5198¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?No4895¢0¢$0−$45$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1?No3813¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 20?No3893¢0¢$0−$35$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 29?No3793¢0¢$0−$35$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 21?No3694¢0¢$0−$34$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 28?No2894¢0¢$0−$26$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 4?No2793¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 6?No2494¢0¢$0−$23$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 18?No1593¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 25?No1493¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No1429.6¢0¢$0−$4.14$0
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes1327.9¢0¢$0−$3.59−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 5?No1395¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5?No1293¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 4?No1094¢0¢$0−$9.41$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No728.7¢0¢$0−$1.99−$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 100-101°F on October 4?No693¢0¢$0−$5.66$0
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No597¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 17?No394¢0¢$0−$2.82$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 30?No394¢0¢$0−$2.67$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?No193¢0¢$0−$1.00$0

Recent trades

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TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 30?94¢8$7.52100%68
SELL YesWill "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?89.1¢164$146100%68
SELL YesWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?97.5¢215$210100%68
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 17?92.9¢20$19100%68
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 16?92¢96$88100%68
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 15?92¢60$55100%68
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 2?90.1¢21$19100%68
BUY YesWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?10.8¢926$100100%68
SELL NoStarmer out by December 31, 2026?23¢13$3.03100%68
SELL YesDutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?11¢29$3.14100%68
SELL YesWill Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?16.6¢29$4.88100%68
SELL YesWill Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?23¢32$7.36100%68
SELL YesWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?28¢5$1.40100%68
BUY YesWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?27.5¢7$1.81100%68
BUY YesWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?47.7¢10$4.97100%68
SELL YesWill the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?79¢6$4.87100%68
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?80¢6$4.94100%68
BUY YesWill Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?16.1¢29$4.74100%68
SELL YesWill Kevin De Bruyne score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?66¢7$4.85100%68
BUY YesWill Kevin De Bruyne score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?67¢7$4.92100%68