sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

LFC8

0xb29…4ee4
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$7,061vol $2.52M
PnL 30d−$12.2kgains $2,411 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$11.3kwin rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate82.7%adj 81.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$4,993cash n/a
Positions137 / 607open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$4,015below peak −$25.1kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 82.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable93
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d89
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No2,00090¢94.5¢$1,890+$90$0
Will Liverpool finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes62581¢86.5¢$541+$34$0
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?No1,08850¢49¢$533−$11$0
Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?No1,25933¢36.5¢$459+$44$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes53147¢63.5¢$337+$88$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No27996.4¢96.6¢$270+$0.52$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes1,13119¢23.5¢$266+$51$0
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No21091¢90.5¢$190−$1.05$0
Will Liverpool qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes22770¢74.5¢$169+$10$0
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No11384¢89.5¢$101+$6.24$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No10087¢93.5¢$94+$6.50$0
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No9088¢95.9¢$86+$7.11$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No5271¢71.5¢$37+$0.26$0
Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes12217.5¢5.6¢$6.83−$15$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes22817¢2.5¢$5.58−$33$0
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No595.7¢97.3¢$4.50+$0.07$0
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes625.3¢4¢$2.46−$0.84$0
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes400k1.3¢0¢$0−$5,200−$154
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes256k4.9¢0¢$0−$12.7k$0
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes30.0k3.4¢0¢$0−$1,009$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No28.2k10.5¢0¢$0−$2,971$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No27.0k12¢0¢$0−$3,240$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes20.2k5.2¢0¢$0−$1,058−$0.67
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?Yes18.7k17¢0¢$0−$3,183$0
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?No15.0k69.7¢0¢$0−$10.4k$0
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?Yes13.7k35.3¢0¢$0−$4,832$0
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia?Yes12.2k8¢0¢$0−$972−$0.35
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?Yes12.0k50¢0¢$0−$6,000$0
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?Yes12.0k50.8¢0¢$0−$6,096$0
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?No11.9k59.5¢0¢$0−$7,100$0
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes11.6k47¢0¢$0−$5,452−$87
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?Yes10.5k57¢0¢$0−$6,008$0
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes10.0k12¢0¢$0−$1,200−$32
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Yes10.0k17¢0¢$0−$1,700$0
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 0 New Zealand?Yes10.0k13¢0¢$0−$1,300−$34
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes10.0k55¢0¢$0−$5,500−$74
Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 3 IR Iran?Yes9,9971.2¢0¢$0−$120$0
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?Yes9,88938.8¢0¢$0−$3,835$0
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?Yes9,33841.1¢0¢$0−$3,839−$0.63
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?Yes8,00054¢0¢$0−$4,320$0
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes7,89811¢0¢$0−$869$0
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC7,80420¢0¢$0−$1,561$0
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes6,99624¢0¢$0−$1,679−$38
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes6,00093¢0¢$0−$5,580$0
Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes6,00021¢0¢$0−$1,260$0
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?No5,55080¢0¢$0−$4,440$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes5,03613¢0¢$0−$655$0
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox5,00054¢0¢$0−$2,700−$62
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18?Yes4,88212¢0¢$0−$586$0
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?No4,61019.7¢0¢$0−$908$0
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander ZverevZverev4,38544.8¢0¢$0−$1,966$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Yes4,18353.8¢0¢$0−$2,248$0
Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?No3,9972.1¢0¢$0−$83−$3.56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?Yes3,43616¢0¢$0−$550$0
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?Yes3,41268.1¢0¢$0−$2,324$0
England vs. DR Congo: Team to AdvanceDR Congo3,29112¢0¢$0−$395$0
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?No3,0006.6¢0¢$0−$199$0
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No2,90751.6¢0¢$0−$1,500$0
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit2,00019¢0¢$0−$380−$15
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes2,00035¢0¢$0−$700−$14
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?No2,00049.5¢0¢$0−$990$0
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsPARIVISION2,00066¢0¢$0−$1,320$0
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?Yes2,00025¢0¢$0−$500$0
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?Yes1,92352¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?Yes1,90953¢0¢$0−$1,012$0
England vs. Croatia: Neither team to score first?Yes1,5388.8¢0¢$0−$135−$3.70
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC1,50011¢0¢$0−$165$0
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?Yes1,31167¢0¢$0−$878$0
Jynxzi vs Speed gaming challenge winner?Jynxzi1,31068.8¢0¢$0−$901−$14
Aston Villa to score first vs. Paris Saint-Germain?Yes1,30431.6¢0¢$0−$412−$14
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?No1,25224¢0¢$0−$300$0
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No1,23581¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?No1,17545.2¢0¢$0−$531$0
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-01?Yes1,0197¢0¢$0−$71$0
Warriors vs. TimberwolvesWarriors1,00531¢0¢$0−$312$0
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?Yes1,00064¢0¢$0−$640−$12
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam PlayoffsNatus Vincere1,00018¢0¢$0−$180$0
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria1,00080¢0¢$0−$800−$4.80
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsFURIA1,00042¢0¢$0−$420−$7.31
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?No1,00068¢0¢$0−$680$0
Knicks vs. SpursSpurs1,00055¢0¢$0−$550−$7.42
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,00037¢0¢$0−$370$0
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-07?Yes90014.9¢0¢$0−$134$0
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No87940.4¢0¢$0−$355−$6.35
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No8569¢0¢$0−$77$0
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-05?Yes81016¢0¢$0−$130$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Yes7248¢0¢$0−$58$0
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No72084¢0¢$0−$605$0
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?No62672¢0¢$0−$451$0
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes58821¢0¢$0−$123−$2.93
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Yandex50061¢0¢$0−$305−$5.95
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?No50040¢0¢$0−$200$0
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)Youssef Zalal50054¢0¢$0−$270$0
Jynxzi vs Speed: who wins in Roblox Trivia?Jynxzi4902¢0¢$0−$9.80−$0.48
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION48154¢0¢$0−$259$0
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?Yes45511¢0¢$0−$50$0
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere40818¢0¢$0−$74$0
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Moerani BouzigeMoerani Bouzige39255.7¢0¢$0−$218$0
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes30021¢0¢$0−$63−$1.49
Pelicans vs. KnicksPelicans30032¢0¢$0−$96$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?96.4¢259$25083%45
BUY YesWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?73¢2,103$1,53583%45
BUY NoWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?71¢52$3783%45
BUY NoWill "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?73¢60$4483%45
BUY YesWill Liverpool finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?81¢615$49883%45
BUY YesWill Liverpool finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?80¢5$4.2283%45
BUY YesWill Liverpool qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?70¢227$15983%45
BUY NoWill Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?50¢20$1083%45
BUY NoWill Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?50¢24$1283%45
BUY NoWill Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?50¢64$3283%45
BUY NoWill Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?33¢1,259$41583%45
BUY YesWill Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?5.3¢50$2.6583%45
BUY Boston Red SoxCleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox54¢5,000$2,70083%45
BUY NoWill Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?88¢90$7983%45
BUY NoWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?96.6¢20$1983%45
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?99.3¢6,473$6,42783%45
SELL YesWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-15?27¢3,080$83283%45
SELL YesWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-15?27¢10$2.7083%45
BUY YesWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-15?22¢10.8k$2,36683%45
BUY GarciaZuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)72¢37$2783%45