sharpside
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Traders/Rank #919

Gilmanor

0xb2d…312c
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$222kvol $1.77M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate66.7%adj 55.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions5 / 14open / all-time
Max drawdown−23.2%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$222kbelow peak −$224Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale76
Adjusted win rateraw 66.7% · shrunk toward 50%38
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable38
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity77

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 5

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes75.9k25¢0¢$0−$19.0k$0
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes41.5k40.9¢0¢$0−$17.0k$0
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes40.1k21.4¢0¢$0−$8,609$0
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes29.9k33.7¢0¢$0−$10.1k$0
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes28.4k52.8¢0¢$0−$15.0k$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?91.1¢110k$100k67%30Whale
SELL NoWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?48¢6$2.6567%30
BUY NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?91.1¢110k$100k67%30Whale
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?18.3¢85.4k$15.6k67%30Whale
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?20.1¢66.5k$13.4k67%30Whale
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?21¢4,758$99967%30
SELL NoWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?41.9¢21.6k$9,04467%30
SELL NoWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?48¢69.2k$33.2k67%30Whale
SELL NoWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?51¢215k$110k67%30Whale
BUY NoWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?52.1¢215k$112k67%30Whale
BUY NoWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?82¢5,428$4,45167%30
BUY NoWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?50.2¢47.8k$24.0k67%30Whale
BUY NoWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?64.4¢37.5k$24.2k67%30Whale
SELL YesUS forces enter Iran by April 30?83.1¢63.4k$52.6k67%30Whale
BUY YesUS forces enter Iran by April 30?68.6¢21.2k$14.5k67%30Whale
BUY YesUS forces enter Iran by April 30?67¢42.2k$28.2k67%30Whale
BUY YesUS forces enter Iran by March 31?40.9¢41.5k$17.0k67%30Whale
SELL YesUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?97.4¢173k$169k67%30Whale
SELL YesUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?96.7¢24.5k$23.7k67%30Whale
SELL YesWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?99.4¢23.0k$22.9k67%30Whale