sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,832

Raskell

0xb37…f1b1@raskellpm
SharpWhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$64.6kvol $2.68M
PnL 30d−$7,602gains $15.8k · losses $7,506
PnL 7d+$2,606win rate 7d 83.3%
Win rate60.9%adj 60.5% · 30d 68.1%
Open value$16.0kcash n/a
Positions54 / 998open / all-time
Max drawdown−17.8%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 19m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$54.5kbelow peak −$3,287Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale69
Adjusted win rateraw 60.9% · shrunk toward 50%51
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity82

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 54

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No11.0k89.9¢93.5¢$10.2k+$389+$39
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No1,98279.8¢76.5¢$1,516−$65$0
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Yes1,23861.6¢65.5¢$811+$48$0
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes3,39044.5¢21.7¢$736−$772$0
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Yes78746.2¢54.5¢$429+$66$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes49578.8¢82¢$406+$16−$54
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Yes1,62223.9¢24.5¢$397+$9.78$0
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes93461¢31.5¢$294−$276$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes1,20044.7¢18¢$216−$320$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes50075.2¢40¢$200−$176$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No24774.2¢78.5¢$194+$11−$44
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes2,74733.2¢7¢$192−$721$0
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Yes4,9935¢3.5¢$175−$75−$22
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?Yes40823.1¢17.5¢$71−$23$0
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No8873.6¢57.5¢$51−$14−$28
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes25838.8¢14.5¢$37−$63$0
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Yes54818.2¢6.5¢$36−$64$0
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes7715¢13.5¢$10−$1.16$0
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?No194.6¢94.4¢$1.17$0+$21
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by September 30, 2026?Yes214.4¢1.8¢$0.37−$0.55$0
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes1502¢0.2¢$0.22−$2.77$0
Will Trump endorse Together in the 2026 Israeli Election?Yes3110.3¢0.1¢$0.16−$0.78$0
Will Trump endorse Yashar in the 2026 Israeli Election?Yes261.1¢0.2¢$0.04−$0.25$0
Will Trump say "Dictionary" this week?No13.6k0.7¢0¢$0−$100−$0.51
Trump out as President by August 31?Yes10,0000.3¢0¢$0−$30$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes7,4041.8¢0¢$0−$136−$3.56
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?Yes5,9060.1¢0¢$0−$7.47$0
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers4,88134.9¢0¢$0−$1,705−$12
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 15?No3,4224.9¢0¢$0−$169−$1.69
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes2,93523.7¢0¢$0−$695$0
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes2,26738.5¢0¢$0−$873+$55
Will Carlos Alcaraz Play in the U.S. Open?No1,7000.6¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Yes1,6670.6¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.50
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs FlyQuest RED (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 PlayoffsFlyQuest RED1,26417.5¢0¢$0−$222−$5.86
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Commanders1,15549.1¢0¢$0−$567$0
Jaguars vs. BroncosJaguars1,05052¢0¢$0−$546$0
Spread: Packers (-4.5)Packers1,02344¢0¢$0−$450$0
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes1,00010.2¢0¢$0−$102$0
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B9z1,00015¢0¢$0−$150$0
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?No1,00010¢0¢$0−$100$0
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?Yes4318¢0¢$0−$34$0
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes41016.4¢0¢$0−$67−$2.81
Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 1?No3005.3¢0¢$0−$16$0
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Yes20014¢0¢$0−$28$0
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?No16233.5¢0¢$0−$54−$59
Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?Yes1384.5¢0¢$0−$6.23$0
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?No12454.8¢0¢$0−$68−$1.18
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?Yes6925.1¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?Yes5632.1¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 100 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?No4024¢0¢$0−$9.60−$0.36
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Poznan (Poland), clay: Wasiutynski Fryderyk Lechno vs Niklas GuttauWasiutynski Fryderyk Lechno756¢0¢$0−$4.06−$0.09
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?No779.1¢0¢$0−$5.34+$262
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?No324¢0¢$0−$0.65$0
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes25.1¢0¢$0−$0.12+$807

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?35¢93$3361%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?32.5¢738$24061%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?29.7¢141$4261%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?33.8¢753$25461%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?68.8¢230$15861%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?41.9¢504$21161%72Sharp
BUY NoIran full airspace closure by December 31?77¢1,599$1,23161%72Sharp
BUY NoIran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?94¢5,299$4,98161%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?89.7¢229$20561%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?76¢20$1561%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?74.4¢350$26061%72Sharp
SELL YesWill Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?55¢206$11361%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?39¢10$3.8061%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?37.6¢153$5761%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?63.4¢456$28961%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 27, 2026?97.3¢137$13361%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump post "China" on Truth Social this week?99.9¢50$5061%72Sharp
BUY NoIran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?93¢298$27761%72Sharp
SELL YesIsrael military action against Lebanon on October 6?5.2¢180$9.3061%72Sharp
BUY YesHouthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 7?97.3¢124$12161%72Sharp