sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

GTOrski1

0xb3a…84fc
WR 60+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$990vol $77.1k
PnL 30d+$581gains $267 · losses $62
PnL 7d+$69win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate70.0%adj 62.0% · 30d 71.4%
Open value$32.4kcash n/a
Positions52 / 83open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.1%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 47m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,452below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale43
Adjusted win rateraw 70.0% · shrunk toward 50%55
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 52

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No4,66183.1¢97¢$4,519+$645+$155
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No3,68996¢97.8¢$3,606+$63−$0.05
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No2,28196.8¢97.6¢$2,225+$17$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No2,37387.9¢93.5¢$2,219+$133$0
US military draft authorized in 2026?No2,21990.1¢96.5¢$2,141+$143$0
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?No1,89985.8¢92¢$1,747+$118$0
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?No1,68697.2¢98.7¢$1,663+$24+$4.18
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No1,68484.2¢95.5¢$1,608+$191$0
Obama arrested before 2027?No1,56997.1¢97.9¢$1,535+$13$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?No1,00797.4¢99¢$997+$16+$5.42
US defaults on debt by 2027?No79698.2¢98.1¢$781−$1.13$0
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?No84191.8¢91¢$766−$6.75$0
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? No73693.2¢92.8¢$683−$2.71$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No70991.1¢95.5¢$677+$31$0
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No69296.2¢97.1¢$672+$5.78$0
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No68797.6¢96.1¢$660−$11$0
US x China Military clash before 2027?No62595.9¢97.5¢$609+$9.54$0
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?No65090.1¢90¢$585−$1.00$0
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?No42397.1¢97.6¢$412+$1.72$0
Tom Lee charged by December 31?No40595¢97.9¢$397+$12$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No38597.3¢97.4¢$375+$0.47$0
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?No39090.9¢90.5¢$353−$1.43$0
OPEC dissolves in 2026?No34094¢98.6¢$335+$15$0
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?No27296.1¢96.7¢$263+$1.55$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?No25093.1¢93.8¢$234+$1.69$0
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No23792.9¢94.5¢$224+$3.82+$7.89
Fed abolished before 2027?No22198.3¢98.6¢$218+$0.58$0
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?No23090¢93¢$214+$6.90$0
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?No19495.4¢96.5¢$187+$2.11+$0.05
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?No19195.6¢97.8¢$187+$4.19$0
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?No19094.1¢94.5¢$180+$0.85$0
Will Alberta join the US? No18197.8¢98.9¢$179+$1.92$0
RFK Jr. Out by October 31?No15791.1¢96.5¢$151+$8.43$0
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?No12093.6¢95.7¢$115+$2.46$0
Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?No10796.9¢97¢$104+$0.13$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?No10397¢98.6¢$102+$1.60$0
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?No8497¢97.2¢$81+$0.17$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,5001.9¢2.8¢$69+$21+$15
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?No5795.1¢95.6¢$54+$0.28$0
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?No5595¢96.4¢$53+$0.74$0
Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?No5095.7¢97.6¢$49+$0.92$0
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?No4096.8¢99.3¢$40+$1.00$0
Trump on $250 bill this year?No3597.3¢97.7¢$34+$0.12$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?No7588.5¢34¢$25−$41$0
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30?No2094¢97.5¢$19+$0.70$0
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 3.90% before 2027?No2097¢96.2¢$19−$0.17$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No1284¢89.5¢$11+$0.65$0
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?No1059.5¢94.5¢$9.45+$3.50−$0.95
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes6017¢6.5¢$3.90−$6.30$0
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Yes1018.8¢10¢$1.00−$0.88+$4.58
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Yes2514.9¢1.5¢$0.37−$3.33−$0.65
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes3033.1¢0.9¢$0.27−$9.69$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? 94.7¢10$9.4770%47
BUY NoWill Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? 94.5¢2$1.4470%47
BUY NoWill Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? 94.5¢10$9.4570%47
BUY NoWill Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? 94.4¢40$3870%47
BUY NoWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?97.8¢26$2570%47
BUY NoTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?96.8¢30$2970%47
BUY NoTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?96.8¢40$3970%47
BUY NoTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?96.8¢40$3970%47
BUY NoWill a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?94¢91$8570%47
BUY NoTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?97.9¢205$20170%47
BUY NoUS defaults on debt by 2027?98.9¢100$9970%47
BUY NoUS defaults on debt by 2027?98.8¢40$4070%47
BUY NoWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?97.3¢200$19570%47
BUY NoWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?97.8¢127$12470%47
BUY NoWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?97.7¢50$4970%47
BUY NoWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?97.5¢25$2470%47
BUY NoWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?92.7¢30$2870%47
BUY NoWill Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? 94.4¢40$3870%47
BUY NoWill Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? 94.2¢40$3870%47
BUY NoWill Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? 94.3¢40$3870%47