sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,325

100x

0xb48…a144@100xpoly
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$149kvol $11.4M
PnL 30d+$776gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$77win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate91.6%adj 86.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$35.5kcash n/a
Positions30 / 174open / all-time
Max drawdown−25.8%of equity peak
Account age3.5ylast trade 4mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$153kbelow peak −$39.2kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

66/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 91.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 30

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No10.0k81.5¢96.3¢$9,636+$1,481$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No9,72681¢97.9¢$9,517+$1,639+$22.3k
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No6,99489.7¢97.1¢$6,788+$514+$389
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No3,70591¢97.7¢$3,619+$248$0
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No3,02964¢96.7¢$2,928+$989$0
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?No2,76366¢94.5¢$2,611+$787$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes3,69029.2¢5.5¢$203−$873−$14
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No12081¢95.4¢$114+$17$0
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes1,55751¢5.5¢$86−$708−$1,275
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes81.6k20.5¢0¢$0−$16.7k−$9,667
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?No71.8k41.5¢0¢$0−$29.8k$0
Chirayu Rana sued?No60.0k14.7¢0¢$0−$8,850−$0.01
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes52.2k45.1¢0¢$0−$23.5k$0
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes23.6k4.8¢0¢$0−$1,130$0
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?Yes13.5k5.1¢0¢$0−$688$0
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?Yes12.5k2.7¢0¢$0−$338$0
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?Yes11.1k11¢0¢$0−$1,216$0
OpenAI IPO in 2025?Yes10.0k2¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?Yes10,0000.3¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Yes10,0001.5¢0¢$0−$150$0
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes10,0001.1¢0¢$0−$110$0
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?Yes7,3738¢0¢$0−$590$0
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?Yes6,6713.6¢0¢$0−$240$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No5,53591.1¢0¢$0−$5,044−$26.5k
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No5,00073¢0¢$0−$3,650$0
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes3,50919.1¢0¢$0−$670$0
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?Yes1,7854¢0¢$0−$71$0
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?Yes1,5536¢0¢$0−$93$0
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes6881.5¢0¢$0−$10+$937
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Yes16.3¢0¢$0−$0.06+$4,140

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?99.1¢275k$273k92%66Whale
BUY NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?99.6¢100k$99.6k92%66Whale
SELL NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?38.8¢12.0k$4,64892%66
SELL NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?33.9¢296$10092%66
SELL NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?35.1¢1,824$64092%66
BUY YesMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?12.5¢2,111$26492%66
BUY YesUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?30¢2,000$60092%66
SELL NoUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?90¢20.0k$18.0k92%66Whale
BUY NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?67¢500$33592%66
BUY NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?76.8¢138$10692%66
BUY NoChirayu Rana sued?7¢5$0.3592%66
BUY NoChirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?87¢1,508$1,31292%66
BUY YesIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?99.8¢50.0k$49.9k92%66Whale
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?99.7¢50.0k$49.9k92%66Whale
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?99.7¢100k$99.7k92%66Whale
BUY YesIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?99.8¢95.6k$95.4k92%66Whale
BUY YesIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?99.8¢30.0k$29.9k92%66Whale
BUY NoStarmer out by April 30, 2026?99¢18.6k$18.4k92%66Whale
BUY NoStarmer out by April 30, 2026?99¢469$46492%66
BUY NoWill SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?99.8¢1,829$1,82592%66