PnL all-time+$1,385vol $298k
PnL 30d−$24gains $2,160 · losses $2,408
PnL 7d−$188win rate 7d 42.1%
Win rate49.7%adj 49.7% · 30d 51.4%
Open value$80cash n/a
Positions4 / 1,065open / all-time
Max drawdown−18.1%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 12m ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$3,190below peak −$406Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 49.7% · shrunk toward 50%24
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity82
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25? · Yesclosed+$221Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1? · Yesclosed+$209Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 1? · Yesclosed+$182Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30? · Yesclosed+$169Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1? · Yesclosed+$162
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21? · Yesclosed−$219Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 3? · Noclosed−$211Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 10? · Yesclosed−$200Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 13? · Yesclosed−$134Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 1? · Yesclosed−$110
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 13? | Yes | 197 | 26¢ | 27¢ | $53 | +$1.97 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 13? | Yes | 213 | 4.7¢ | 9.9¢ | $21 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 13? | Yes | 40 | 20.4¢ | 14.7¢ | $5.88 | −$2.28 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 12? | Yes | 97 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.48 | $0 |
Recent trades
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