PnL all-time+$8,424vol $2.17M
PnL 30d−$895gains $688 · losses $1,915
PnL 7d−$178win rate 7d 39.0%
Win rate59.3%adj 59.0% · 30d 52.9%
Open value$94cash n/a
Positions2,000 / 20,011open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 5h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 59.3% · shrunk toward 50%48
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET · Downclosed+$85Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Downclosed+$74Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Upclosed+$73Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET · Upclosed+$67Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET · Downclosed+$60
Worst markets
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 300k? · Yesclosed−$460Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$265Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · Yesclosed−$179Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET · Downopen−$123Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET · Downopen−$116
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 250 | 51.4¢ | 37.5¢ | $94 | −$35 | $0 |
Recent trades
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