sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,879

johnyjo

0xb69…7c05
1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,641vol $242k
PnL 30d+$235gains $569 · losses $177
PnL 7d−$83win rate 7d 41.7%
Win rate54.8%adj 54.6% · 30d 69.0%
Open value$1,801cash n/a
Positions33 / 600open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.0%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 14h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,914below peak −$280Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 54.8% · shrunk toward 50%37
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable93
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 33

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Yes2,71227.7¢27.5¢$746−$4.30−$118
Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026?Yes34080.6¢65¢$221−$53$0
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 36.8 on October 16, 2026?Yes20385¢95.5¢$194+$21$0
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 16, 2026?Yes16577.7¢86.5¢$142+$14$0
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.4 on October 16, 2026?Yes12575¢82¢$102+$8.71$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% in 2026?No10394.7¢92.3¢$95−$2.50$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?No10095.3¢94.4¢$95−$0.86$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes8065.1¢63.5¢$51−$1.30$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes1,2004¢4¢$47$0−$35
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes1,1316.6¢2.4¢$27−$48−$11
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes5042¢42.5¢$21+$0.25$0
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.4 on October 16, 2026?Yes8015¢18¢$14+$2.40$0
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.6 on October 16, 2026?Yes2069¢71.5¢$14+$0.50$0
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 36.8 on October 16, 2026?No1590¢82.6¢$12−$1.08$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 45% in 2026?No1096¢94.3¢$9.79−$0.18+$0.90
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes1005.1¢5.5¢$5.50+$0.37+$2.44
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.2 on October 16, 2026?Yes578¢83¢$4.15+$0.25$0
Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.1 on October 16, 2026?Yes36¢16¢$0.53+$0.33+$8.95
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No5,0000.1¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes2,8130.4¢0¢$0−$12−$26
Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on July 31, 2026?Yes40019.8¢0¢$0−$79−$39
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 12, 2026?Yes22730.8¢0¢$0−$70−$19
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 15, 2026?Yes2139.2¢0¢$0−$20−$27
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on September 11, 2026?Yes1990.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 40.0 on July 3, 2026?Yes15224.4¢0¢$0−$37−$22
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 15, 2026?Yes13724.2¢0¢$0−$33−$54
Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 10, 2026?Yes10428.6¢0¢$0−$30−$8.16
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 38.0 on July 31, 2026?Yes10017.8¢0¢$0−$18−$0.08
Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on August 7, 2026?Yes5529.6¢0¢$0−$16−$8.41
Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 18, 2026?Yes5128.6¢0¢$0−$15−$11
Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on September 11, 2026?Yes1415.3¢0¢$0−$2.17−$23
Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on August 7, 2026?Yes1037¢0¢$0−$3.70−$11
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 3, 2026?Yes141.2¢0¢$0−$0.42−$49

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Trump's approval rating be at least 37.4 on October 16, 2026?75¢125$9355%65
BUY YesWill Trump's approval rating be at least 37.6 on October 16, 2026?69¢20$1455%65
BUY YesWill Trump's approval rating be at least 37.2 on October 16, 2026?78¢5$3.9055%65
BUY YesWill Trump's approval rating be at least 38.4 on October 16, 2026?15¢80$1255%65
SELL YesWill Trump's approval rating be between 37.8 and 37.9 on October 16, 2026?21¢128$2755%65
SELL YesWill Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.1 on October 16, 2026?18¢80$1455%65
SELL YesWill Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?28¢50$1455%65
BUY YesWill Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 16, 2026?76.6¢105$8055%65
BUY YesWill Trump's approval rating be at least 36.8 on October 16, 2026?85¢100$8555%65
BUY YesWill Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 16, 2026?80¢40$3255%65
BUY YesWill Trump's approval rating be at least 36.8 on October 16, 2026?85¢103$8855%65
BUY YesWill Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 16, 2026?79¢20$1655%65
BUY YesWill Trump's approval rating be between 37.8 and 37.9 on October 16, 2026?8¢128$1055%65
BUY YesWill Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.1 on October 16, 2026?6¢83$5.0055%65
BUY NoWill Trump's approval rating be less than 36.8 on October 16, 2026?90¢15$1355%65
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?63¢10$6.3055%65
SELL NoWill Trump's approval rating hit 45% in 2026?98.1¢8$7.3655%65
SELL NoWill Trump's approval rating hit 45% in 2026?98.1¢9$9.2055%65
SELL NoWill Trump's approval rating hit 45% in 2026?98.1¢8$7.3655%65
SELL DownTrump approval Up or Down this week?99.9¢20$2055%65