PnL all-time+$2,235vol $629k
PnL 30d+$601gains $355 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$2,453win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 67.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$228kcash n/a
Positions5 / 17open / all-time
Max drawdown−74.4%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 28d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$6,782below peak $0Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%69
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable41
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d4
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity26
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Noopen+$4,009Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Noclosed+$3,763Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Noclosed+$2,835Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? · Noclosed+$740Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yesclosed+$471
Worst markets
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 236k | 87.8¢ | 89.5¢ | $212k | +$4,009 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 15.3k | 96.1¢ | 97.8¢ | $14.9k | +$253 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,122 | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1,054 | +$101 | $0 | |
| Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 11.5k | 54¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,201 | −$143 | |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship? | Yes | 120 | 10.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | −$0.58 |
Recent trades
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