sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,228

0xb76…aa79

0xb76…aa79
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,722vol $84.6k
PnL 30d+$16gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$13win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate98.9%adj 90.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$6,521cash n/a
Positions245 / 339open / all-time
Max drawdown−37.8%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,626below peak −$1,402Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 98.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity62

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes1,60072.2¢100¢$1,600+$444$0
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes77449.8¢100¢$774+$389$0
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes41317.2¢100¢$413+$342$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?Yes29753.5¢100¢$297+$138$0
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?Yes29750.2¢100¢$297+$148$0
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes19844.4¢100¢$198+$110$0
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?Yes18050.3¢100¢$180+$89$0
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes17547¢100¢$175+$93$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?Yes13542.7¢100¢$135+$77$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes67130.8¢17.5¢$118−$90$0
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team10062¢100¢$100+$38$0
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes10087¢100¢$100+$13$0
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi OsakaAryna Sabalenka10053¢100¢$100+$47$0
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-26?Yes9977.5¢100¢$99+$22$0
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?Yes9974.6¢100¢$99+$25$0
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes9970.6¢100¢$99+$29$0
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?Yes9963.7¢100¢$99+$36$0
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis CardinalsSeattle Mariners9960.7¢100¢$99+$39$0
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes9959.7¢100¢$99+$40$0
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?Yes9959.7¢100¢$99+$40$0
Knicks vs. HawksKnicks9954.8¢100¢$99+$45$0
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsFUT Esports9954.8¢100¢$99+$45$0
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder9954.8¢100¢$99+$45$0
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?Yes9951.8¢100¢$99+$48$0
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?Yes9843.7¢100¢$98+$55$0
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?Yes9843.7¢100¢$98+$55$0
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati RedsLos Angeles Angels9840.7¢100¢$98+$58$0
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago CubsPittsburgh Pirates9834.7¢100¢$98+$64$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes57425.8¢15.5¢$89−$60$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4518.8¢17.8¢$80+$40$0
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?Yes5747¢100¢$57+$30$0
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan RoyalsSunrisers Hyderabad4946.8¢100¢$49+$26$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes45516.7¢9¢$41−$35$0
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta CocciarettoJessica Pegula3948.8¢100¢$39+$20$0
Will France win on 2026-03-29?Yes3350¢100¢$33+$16$0
Spurs vs. ClippersSpurs2547.8¢100¢$25+$13$0
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?Yes2255.8¢100¢$22+$9.82$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?Yes2237.7¢100¢$22+$14$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes1850¢100¢$18+$9.13$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2236.8¢48.4¢$11+$2.58$0
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AVitality875.6¢100¢$7.52+$1.84$0
Capitals vs. Blue JacketsCapitals742¢100¢$7.48+$4.34$0
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight RidersChennai Super Kings752.8¢100¢$7.47+$3.53$0
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes749¢100¢$6.69+$3.41$0
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai IndiansDelhi Capitals775.6¢100¢$6.64+$1.62$0
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?Yes566.2¢100¢$5.36+$1.81$0
Pistons vs. 76ersPistons358.7¢100¢$3.20+$1.32$0
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?Yes349.8¢100¢$3.19+$1.60$0
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting IlliniConnecticut Huskies346.8¢100¢$3.19+$1.70$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes10019¢3.1¢$3.05−$16$0
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super GiantsRoyal Challengers Bangalore394.2¢100¢$2.52+$0.15$0
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BNatus Vincere393.2¢100¢$2.51+$0.17$0
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes1895.7¢1.3¢$2.36−$8.41$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes1009.9¢2.3¢$2.25−$7.65$0
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio PlayoffsSpirit179.5¢100¢$1.37+$0.28$0
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight RidersGujarat Titans176.6¢100¢$1.37+$0.32$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes188.1¢100¢$1.16+$0.14$0
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super KingsRoyal Challengers Bangalore187.3¢100¢$1.15+$0.14$0
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes3,96019.6¢0¢$0−$778$0
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes3,83410.5¢0¢$0−$401$0
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes2,21715.8¢0¢$0−$350$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes1,67628.5¢0¢$0−$478$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes1,24713.7¢0¢$0−$171$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes1,2007.6¢0¢$0−$91$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes1,1648.2¢0¢$0−$95$0
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes1,0539.5¢0¢$0−$101$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes96521.2¢0¢$0−$204$0
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting IlliniVCU Rams89817.3¢0¢$0−$155$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes79026.2¢0¢$0−$207$0
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska CornhuskersVanderbilt Commodores69755¢0¢$0−$383$0
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami HurricanesMissouri Tigers69746.5¢0¢$0−$324$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes60115¢0¢$0−$90$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes60031.3¢0¢$0−$188$0
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan WolverinesSaint Louis Billikens59912.5¢0¢$0−$75$0
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersAkron Zips59826.1¢0¢$0−$156$0
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson TideTexas Tech Red Raiders59751.6¢0¢$0−$308$0
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson TideHofstra Pride49914.8¢0¢$0−$74$0
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes40018.2¢0¢$0−$73$0
Lakers vs. PistonsLakers40054.2¢0¢$0−$217$0
Stars vs. WildStars40063.7¢0¢$0−$255$0
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt CommodoresMcNeese State Cowboys39912.8¢0¢$0−$51$0
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville CardinalsSouth Florida Bulls39929.3¢0¢$0−$117$0
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State SpartansLouisville Cardinals39930.9¢0¢$0−$123$0
UCF Knights vs. UCLA BruinsUCF Knights39834.1¢0¢$0−$136$0
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut HuskiesUCLA Bruins39836.1¢0¢$0−$144$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes39531.4¢0¢$0−$124$0
Pelicans vs. PistonsPelicans38437¢0¢$0−$142$0
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue BoilermakersTexas Longhorns38324.6¢0¢$0−$94$0
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3746.9¢0¢$0−$26$0
Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)Nuggets35051¢0¢$0−$179$0
Islanders vs. SabresIslanders30036¢0¢$0−$108$0
Oilers vs. KingsOilers30042.3¢0¢$0−$127$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes3009¢0¢$0−$27$0
Panthers vs. SenatorsPanthers30026¢0¢$0−$78$0
Thunder vs. CelticsThunder30057¢0¢$0−$171$0
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas JayhawksCalifornia Baptist Lancers30011.7¢0¢$0−$35$0
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee VolunteersMiami (OH) RedHawks30015.4¢0¢$0−$46$0
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona WildcatsUtah State Aggies29914.7¢0¢$0−$44$0
Thunder vs. NuggetsThunder29518.6¢0¢$0−$55$0
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?Yes29325.2¢0¢$0−$74$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?15.8¢54$8.5599%56
BUY Karen KhachanovMadrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensik1¢51$0.5199%56
BUY PistonsSpread: Pistons (-2.5)54¢53$2899%56
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?17.9¢54$9.6799%56
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?28¢49$1499%56
BUY YesWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?42¢52$2299%56
BUY NuggetsSpread: Nuggets (-11.5)50¢53$2699%56
BUY PistonsPistons vs. Magic60¢53$3299%56
BUY TimberwolvesTimberwolves vs. Nuggets19¢52$9.7999%56
BUY PistonsSpread: Pistons (-3.5)51¢53$2799%56
BUY PistonsSpread: Pistons (-2.5)54¢81$4499%56
BUY YesUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?10¢83$8.2999%56
BUY YesWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?15.9¢83$1399%56
BUY YesWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?42¢80$3499%56
BUY YesWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?49¢80$3999%56
BUY TimberwolvesTimberwolves vs. Nuggets20¢79$1699%56
BUY NuggetsSpread: Nuggets (-11.5)50¢80$4099%56
BUY PistonsPistons vs. Magic59¢81$4899%56
BUY TimberwolvesTimberwolves vs. Nuggets21¢95$2099%56
BUY YesWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?35.9¢100$3699%56