sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,819

charlatta

0xb7b…db31
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$7,019vol $3.01M
PnL 30d+$6,761gains $13.9k · losses $5,996
PnL 7d+$328win rate 7d 90.9%
Win rate86.1%adj 83.9% · 30d 87.1%
Open value$64.9kcash n/a
Positions40 / 345open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 8d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$5,944below peak −$28Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

57/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 86.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d72
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$6,989Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$5,524Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$4,372Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$3,243Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$2,519

Worst markets

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yesclosed−$12.9kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$6,159Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$4,699Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yesclosed−$3,760Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? · Yesclosed−$3,322

Open positions · 40

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No28.0k93.6¢94.5¢$26.5k+$260+$7.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes6,33562¢84.5¢$5,353+$1,424+$238
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes6,00084.8¢85.7¢$5,139+$49$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No3,85588.9¢89.5¢$3,450+$21+$187
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?No3,00098.6¢98.6¢$2,958$0$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No3,00093¢94¢$2,820+$30+$10
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No3,20088.1¢85.5¢$2,736−$82+$6.00
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No2,20095.6¢97.3¢$2,139+$36$0
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes1,90098¢98.4¢$1,869+$6.65$0
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes2,00090¢79.5¢$1,590−$210$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No1,50092.3¢95¢$1,424+$40+$2.40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes8,90051¢15.5¢$1,380−$3,161$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Yes1,80055.7¢64.5¢$1,161+$159$0
Iran leadership change by October 31?No80096.7¢97.9¢$783+$9.20$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes80095.5¢95.6¢$764+$0.40$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No70096.9¢100¢$700+$22$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes1,40463.2¢48.6¢$682−$206−$134
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes1,56833.8¢31.5¢$494−$36$0
GTA VI released by November 30?Yes50093¢95.3¢$477+$12$0
US recession by end of 2026?No45389.8¢93.5¢$424+$17+$47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No40097.6¢99¢$396+$5.52+$129
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?No40097.4¢97.5¢$390+$0.20$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No40079¢81¢$324+$8.00$0
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Yes20094.7¢94.1¢$188−$1.20$0
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes15086¢91.5¢$137+$8.25−$90
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No14048.7¢81.5¢$114+$46$0
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No10087¢93.5¢$94+$6.50$0
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No10083¢92.5¢$93+$9.50$0
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes10087¢87.5¢$88+$0.50$0
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?No10083¢84¢$84+$1.00$0
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes6092.1¢94.1¢$56+$1.20$0
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?No10040¢39.5¢$40−$0.50$0
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes70015.9¢4.1¢$29−$82$0
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?No1587¢87¢$13$0$0
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes3546¢23.5¢$8.22−$7.88$0
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes13539.9¢6¢$8.12−$46$0
Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting?No786¢94.5¢$6.75+$0.61$0
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Yes2173¢10¢$2.08−$13$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?No296.8¢99.3¢$1.71+$0.04$0
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No1615¢4.5¢$0.73−$1.73$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoGemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?92¢200$18486%57
BUY NoIran leadership change by September 30?99.8¢214$21486%57
BUY NoTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?99.9¢4,148$4,14486%57
BUY NoIran leadership change by September 30?99.9¢5,000$4,99586%57
SELL NoWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?82.2¢1,600$1,31586%57
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?36.2¢525$19086%57
BUY NoTaylor Swift pregnant by September 30?99¢30$3086%57
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?32.3¢743$24086%57
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?68¢294$20086%57
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?84¢300$25286%57
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?34¢100$3486%57
SELL YesWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?32.3¢150$4986%57
BUY YesWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?68¢50$3486%57
BUY YesWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?23.4¢85$2086%57
SELL YesWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?79¢100$7986%57
BUY NoWill the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?99.7¢1,000$99786%57
BUY YesWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?99.7¢1,500$1,49686%57
BUY NoWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?97.1¢31$3086%57
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?99.2¢2,173$2,15586%57
SELL NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?98¢631$61886%57