sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

CalebFisher9798

0xb85…77db
PoliticsSportCultureCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$189vol $229k
PnL 30d−$7.31gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.79win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.2%adj 50.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$296cash n/a
Positions29 / 409open / all-time
Max drawdown−45.3%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 8mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$329below peak −$83Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale33
Adjusted win rateraw 50.2% · shrunk toward 50%26
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity55

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?No31326¢90.5¢$283+$202$0
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes7474¢9.5¢$7.03−$48+$5.16
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes8226¢5¢$4.10−$17+$1.34
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?No124¢96¢$0.96+$0.72$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No128¢29.5¢$0.29+$0.01$0
Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by January 31?Yes34811¢0¢$0−$38$0
Will Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes9411¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1?No8410¢0¢$0−$8.44$0
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?No7383.5¢0¢$0−$61$0
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?Yes5116¢0¢$0−$8.16$0
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?Yes3413¢0¢$0−$4.42$0
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No2367.7¢0¢$0−$16$0
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on December 12, 2025?Yes229¢0¢$0−$1.98$0
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No1829¢0¢$0−$5.22−$1.98
Will John Harbaugh join the Cleveland Browns prior to April 23, 2026?Yes1318¢0¢$0−$2.34$0
Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?Yes129¢0¢$0−$1.08$0
Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?No1024¢0¢$0−$2.40$0
Will Lamine Yamal be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes82.5¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes71.3¢0¢$0−$0.09$0
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No650.9¢0¢$0−$3.05−$3.62
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No453¢0¢$0−$1.93−$0.69
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No319¢0¢$0−$0.57−$6.55
Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?Yes316¢0¢$0−$0.48+$12
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No278¢0¢$0−$1.56+$0.12
Will Infinex launch a token by March 31, 2026?No214¢0¢$0−$0.28−$0.45
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Yes11.7¢0¢$0−$0.02+$1.16
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?Yes112¢0¢$0−$0.12$0
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?Yes124¢0¢$0−$0.24$0
Will AOI win the Defi App trading competition?Yes15.7¢0¢$0−$0.06+$0.42

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?88¢73$6450%41
SELL NoWill Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?29¢299$8750%41
SELL NoNo one announced as next James Bond?45¢89$4050%41
SELL NoNo one announced as next James Bond?46¢305$14050%41
BUY NoWill Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?61¢394$24050%41
SELL NoWill the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?87¢625$54450%41
SELL NoWill Keon Ellis be traded this season?17¢76$1350%41
SELL NoWill Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?60.6¢25$1550%41
SELL NoWill the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?26¢409$10650%41
SELL NoWill John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?48¢61$2950%41
SELL NoWill 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?67¢63$4250%41
BUY NoWill the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?88¢698$61450%41
BUY NoWill 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?68¢63$4350%41
SELL NoWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 12% and 14% of votes in the first round?90¢249$22450%41
BUY NoWill the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?27.9¢409$11450%41
SELL NoWill Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?63¢177$11250%41
BUY NoWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 12% and 14% of votes in the first round?89¢249$22250%41
SELL NoWill fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?21¢100$2150%41
SELL NoOver $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?9.9¢605$6050%41
BUY NoWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?38.2¢84$3250%41