sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,024

MonacoLover

0xb8b…1f6e
WhaleWR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$48.5kvol $1.67M
PnL 30d+$7,367gains $2,420 · losses $3,715
PnL 7d+$2,191win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate67.0%adj 64.4% · 30d 62.5%
Open value$84.7kcash n/a
Positions49 / 161open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$38.2kbelow peak −$79.5kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

34/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 67.0% · shrunk toward 50%61
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable74
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 49

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No22.9k83.1¢91.5¢$21.0k+$1,919$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No16.3k93.7¢97.9¢$16.0k+$672$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No18.0k47.7¢85.5¢$15.4k+$6,806$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No9,07392.8¢95.5¢$8,665+$249+$8,230
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No9,52480.6¢85.5¢$8,143+$467$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No6,15984.5¢84.5¢$5,205+$0.81$0
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No4,28585.2¢86.5¢$3,707+$54$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No3,25287.7¢89.5¢$2,910+$58+$535
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No3,06448.3¢52.9¢$1,621+$141+$71
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No1,00191¢94¢$941+$30$0
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No57586¢86.5¢$498+$2.88$0
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No21564.8¢99¢$213+$74$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No13544¢82.5¢$112+$52+$3,064
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Yes1,59814.1¢5.5¢$88−$138−$299
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No8772¢90¢$78+$16$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes12646¢50¢$63+$5.02$0
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2,8692¢1.6¢$46−$10$0
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No1783¢83.5¢$14+$0.09$0
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes5429.9¢3¢$1.62−$15−$478
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Yes2932.9¢5.5¢$1.59−$7.94−$38
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Yes625¢11.5¢$0.63−$0.74−$0.11
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Yes1012¢2.1¢$0.20−$0.95−$0.75
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No58.7k1.1¢0¢$0−$674−$8.84
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?No43.1k13¢0¢$0−$5,580$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No33.3k24.9¢0¢$0−$8,300$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No32.6k40.9¢0¢$0−$13.4k$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No31.9k89.9¢0¢$0−$28.7k$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No31.4k89.7¢0¢$0−$28.1k+$605
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?No27.0k14.8¢0¢$0−$3,992$0
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No17.2k58¢0¢$0−$9,980−$0.26
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No12.0k42.7¢0¢$0−$5,144+$9.47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No11.8k49.6¢0¢$0−$5,876$0
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?No11.0k8.1¢0¢$0−$889$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No10.5k60.4¢0¢$0−$6,333+$93
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No7,78192.6¢0¢$0−$7,207$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No6,31036.2¢0¢$0−$2,286$0
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Yes3,83054.3¢0¢$0−$2,081−$260
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No3,6897¢0¢$0−$258$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes2,2995.1¢0¢$0−$118$0
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No2,29617.9¢0¢$0−$411$0
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes1,1245.2¢0¢$0−$59$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No1,03231¢0¢$0−$319$0
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No98722¢0¢$0−$217$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No86535¢0¢$0−$303−$1,636
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes6104.2¢0¢$0−$26$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes12516¢0¢$0−$20−$25
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No6827.1¢0¢$0−$18−$64
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Yes4848¢0¢$0−$23−$43
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?Yes1627.9¢0¢$0−$4.44−$30

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?4¢1$0.0367%34
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?86¢7$6.2167%34
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?86¢17$1467%34
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?86¢24$2167%34
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?86¢500$43067%34
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?86¢17$1467%34
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?87¢3,000$2,61067%34
BUY NoWill any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?87¢1,989$1,73167%34
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢1,764$1,50067%34
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢1,235$1,05067%34
SELL NoUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? 96¢245$23567%34
SELL NoUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? 96¢245$23567%34
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?97.7¢2,259$2,20767%34
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?47.6¢903$43067%34
SELL YesWill Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?5¢1$0.0367%34
BUY NoIAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?86¢575$49567%34
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?48.6¢2,149$1,04467%34
SELL YesWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?5¢851$4367%34
SELL YesWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?5¢614$3167%34
SELL YesWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?5¢163$8.1667%34