PnL all-time−$504vol $12.4k
PnL 30d+$175gains $170 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$273win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 52.4% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$460cash n/a
Positions11 / 12open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 3d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,259below peak −$1,269Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
13/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable36
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d89
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 430 | 62¢ | 61.5¢ | $265 | −$2.15 | $0 | |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 2,778 | 18¢ | 4.8¢ | $132 | −$368 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 402 | 37.3¢ | 5.5¢ | $22 | −$128 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 769 | 13¢ | 2.2¢ | $17 | −$83 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 381 | 26.2¢ | 3.7¢ | $14 | −$86 | $0 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 500 | 20¢ | 2.3¢ | $11 | −$89 | $0 | |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? | Yes | 3,390 | 4.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | $0 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Yes | 2,143 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | $0 | |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 654 | 22.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | Yes | 435 | 46¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | $0 | |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 267 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY Yes | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | 62¢ | 430 | $267 | 100% | 13 | |||
| BUY Yes | Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | 9¢ | 267 | $24 | 100% | 13 | |||
| BUY Yes | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 37¢ | 270 | $100 | 100% | 13 | |||
| BUY Yes | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | 26.2¢ | 381 | $100 | 100% | 13 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 13¢ | 769 | $100 | 100% | 13 | |||
| BUY Yes | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | 46¢ | 435 | $200 | 100% | 13 | |||
| BUY Yes | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | 18¢ | 2,778 | $500 | 100% | 13 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | 20¢ | 500 | $100 | 100% | 13 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? | 4.4¢ | 3,390 | $150 | 100% | 13 | |||
| BUY Yes | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | 22.9¢ | 654 | $150 | 100% | 13 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 37.3¢ | 402 | $150 | 100% | 13 | |||
| BUY Yes | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | 7¢ | 2,143 | $150 | 100% | 13 |