sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,991

Warlike-Horn

0xb9d…275a
WhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$47.6kvol $2.62M
PnL 30d−$62.3kgains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$70.6kwin rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate94.4%adj 71.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$885kcash n/a
Positions12 / 30open / all-time
Max drawdown−18.7%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$93.8kbelow peak −$2,337Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale67
Adjusted win rateraw 94.4% · shrunk toward 50%78
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity81

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 12

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No390k87.6¢97.8¢$382k+$39.8k$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No288k90.9¢90.5¢$261k−$1,173$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes136k90.6¢90.5¢$123k−$118$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No70.0k99.5¢100¢$70.0k+$370−$3.01
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No35.4k80.5¢97.1¢$34.3k+$5,848+$2,430
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No10.0k60¢62.5¢$6,250+$250$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No10.2k29.1¢38.5¢$3,929+$963$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes10,00029¢37.5¢$3,750+$850$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes1,02560¢62.5¢$641+$26$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No46341¢42.5¢$197+$6.94$0
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No34.4k30¢0¢$0−$10.3k$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No11.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$11$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.5¢12.1k$12.1k94%46Whale
BUY NoWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?89¢16.1k$14.3k94%46Whale
SELL NoXi Jinping out before 2027?92.9¢18.3k$17.0k94%46Whale
SELL NoWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?99.8¢61.0k$60.9k94%46Whale
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?0.1¢10.0k$1094%46
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?0.1¢1,000$1.0094%46
BUY YesWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?99.6¢15.9k$15.9k94%46Whale
BUY NoWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?99.7¢46.4k$46.2k94%46Whale
BUY YesIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?99.7¢50.0k$49.9k94%46Whale
BUY YesIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?99.7¢52.1k$51.9k94%46Whale
BUY YesIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?99.7¢18.8k$18.7k94%46Whale
BUY YesWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?98.6¢18.6k$18.3k94%46Whale
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?96¢35.1k$33.7k94%46Whale
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?95.4¢5,166$4,92994%46
BUY YesUS forces enter Iran by April 30?99.7¢100k$99.7k94%46Whale
BUY NoNetanyahu out by March 31?97¢30.5k$29.6k94%46Whale
BUY NoNetanyahu out by March 31?97¢55.0k$53.3k94%46Whale
BUY NoWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?95¢6,000$5,70094%46
BUY NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?89¢13.0k$11.6k94%46Whale
SELL NoXi Jinping out in 2025?99.6¢10.0k$9,96094%46