PnL all-time−$4,114vol $167k
PnL 30d+$4,637gains $2,480 · losses $676
PnL 7d+$3,541win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate94.6%adj 78.9% · 30d 85.7%
Open value$11.5kcash n/a
Positions12 / 49open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 4d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,069below peak −$5,983Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 94.6% · shrunk toward 50%97
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable56
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d85
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen+$2,808Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? · Yesclosed+$2,243Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yesclosed+$1,354Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? · Yesclosed+$1,220Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$1,180
Worst markets
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? · Noopen−$5,503Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7? · Yesopen−$3,424Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? · Noopen−$2,773Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30? · Yesopen−$1,912Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? · Yesopen−$1,561
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 8,624 | 55.9¢ | 88.4¢ | $7,628 | +$2,808 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 4,422 | 85¢ | 88.5¢ | $3,913 | +$155 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 7,317 | 75.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,503 | $0 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7? | Yes | 3,762 | 91¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,424 | $0 | |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | No | 3,015 | 92¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,773 | $0 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30? | Yes | 2,390 | 80¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,912 | $0 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? | Yes | 1,843 | 84.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,561 | $0 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? | Yes | 861 | 94¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$809 | $0 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31? | Yes | 54 | 72.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | No | 33 | 86.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | No | 30 | 87¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26 | −$0.14 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | No | 28 | 95.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | −$0.05 |
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