| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 213k | 48.4¢ | 85.7¢ | $183k | +$79.7k | +$1,447 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 174k | 58.9¢ | 58¢ | $101k | −$1,618 | +$75 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 87.6k | 83.8¢ | 90.5¢ | $79.2k | +$5,870 | −$5,074 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 46.5k | 74.9¢ | 94.5¢ | $43.9k | +$9,096 | −$17.0k | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 65.3k | 59.6¢ | 57.5¢ | $37.6k | −$1,345 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 50.4k | 58.5¢ | 61.5¢ | $31.0k | +$1,493 | −$1.84 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 33.9k | 86.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $30.6k | +$1,370 | −$9,208 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 45.5k | 43.9¢ | 63.5¢ | $28.9k | +$8,945 | +$1,743 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 213k | 48.6¢ | 13.5¢ | $28.8k | −$75.0k | −$4,717 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 347k | 4.6¢ | 7.5¢ | $25.8k | +$10.0k | +$16.9k | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 30.2k | 84.9¢ | 79.5¢ | $24.0k | −$1,632 | −$2,568 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 480k | 2.9¢ | 4.6¢ | $22.1k | +$8,239 | +$4,159 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 22.2k | 89.1¢ | 91.5¢ | $20.3k | +$543 | −$2,136 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 41.5k | 44.7¢ | 48.6¢ | $20.1k | +$1,613 | +$1,860 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100k | 23.2¢ | 19.9¢ | $19.9k | −$3,373 | +$1,624 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 16.8k | 81.3¢ | 83.5¢ | $14.0k | +$373 | −$1,486 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 46.8k | 32.2¢ | 27.5¢ | $12.9k | −$2,216 | +$225 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 19.9k | 46.1¢ | 63.5¢ | $12.6k | +$3,451 | +$309 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 16.0k | 63.5¢ | 57.5¢ | $9,186 | −$961 | $0 | |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 9,479 | 95.7¢ | 96.9¢ | $9,180 | +$108 | −$325 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 13.0k | 59.5¢ | 61.5¢ | $7,991 | +$265 | $0 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 8,300 | 96¢ | 96¢ | $7,964 | −$3.10 | −$46.2k | |
| Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 7,777 | 98.4¢ | 98.3¢ | $7,641 | −$12 | −$6,423 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7,814 | 88¢ | 87.5¢ | $6,837 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 11.6k | 66¢ | 57.5¢ | $6,692 | −$984 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 9,965 | 46.1¢ | 64.5¢ | $6,428 | +$1,834 | +$258 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | No | 6,888 | 88.5¢ | 86.5¢ | $5,958 | −$137 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 6,112 | 97.7¢ | 97.5¢ | $5,956 | −$14 | −$187 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 35.9k | 19.3¢ | 15.2¢ | $5,434 | −$1,485 | +$4,370 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 7,288 | 70.9¢ | 71¢ | $5,175 | +$4.92 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 6,626 | 66.4¢ | 71.3¢ | $4,724 | +$326 | +$435 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 5,376 | 84¢ | 84.5¢ | $4,543 | +$24 | −$170k | |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | Yes | 4,980 | 89¢ | 90.5¢ | $4,507 | +$75 | −$7.81 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 4,453 | 95.5¢ | 98.1¢ | $4,366 | +$113 | −$1,033 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5,368 | 71.4¢ | 71.5¢ | $3,838 | +$2.83 | $0 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 3,877 | 96¢ | 95.6¢ | $3,704 | −$16 | −$1,031 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 4,764 | 76¢ | 77.5¢ | $3,692 | +$71 | −$2,886 | |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 3,767 | 79.4¢ | 91.1¢ | $3,430 | +$438 | −$154 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 3,533 | 92.4¢ | 95.5¢ | $3,374 | +$109 | −$94 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 64.3k | 5.1¢ | 5.1¢ | $3,249 | −$59 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4,866 | 64.5¢ | 64.5¢ | $3,139 | +$2.11 | $0 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 7,033 | 48¢ | 43.4¢ | $3,052 | −$326 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 4,805 | 63.4¢ | 63.5¢ | $3,051 | +$5.71 | +$1,958 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 37.1k | 15.8¢ | 8.1¢ | $2,990 | −$2,895 | +$3,176 | |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 3,367 | 74.9¢ | 76.8¢ | $2,584 | +$61 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 19.6k | 5.6¢ | 13.2¢ | $2,574 | +$1,485 | +$2,591 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5,932 | 38.1¢ | 42.6¢ | $2,524 | +$266 | +$164 | |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | No | 2,737 | 82.6¢ | 90.8¢ | $2,485 | +$226 | −$86 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3,444 | 72¢ | 71.5¢ | $2,462 | −$16 | −$47 | |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2,549 | 94.9¢ | 95.6¢ | $2,436 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 31.5k | 10.6¢ | 7.4¢ | $2,316 | −$1,012 | +$6,599 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 2,924 | 75.3¢ | 77.5¢ | $2,266 | +$64 | −$1,403 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 2,222 | 99.5¢ | 99.6¢ | $2,212 | +$1.11 | $0 | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 2,833 | 87.8¢ | 77.5¢ | $2,196 | −$290 | −$57 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 2,203 | 83.3¢ | 97.9¢ | $2,156 | +$321 | −$14.4k | |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | No | 2,222 | 94¢ | 95.5¢ | $2,121 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 78.2k | 2.2¢ | 2.6¢ | $1,993 | +$306 | +$160 | |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 8,887 | 20.2¢ | 21.5¢ | $1,911 | +$119 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 1,716 | 97.7¢ | 98.9¢ | $1,697 | +$20 | −$312 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 12.2k | 9¢ | 13¢ | $1,592 | +$485 | $0 | |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 316k | 0.2¢ | 0.5¢ | $1,581 | +$967 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 3,765 | 18.9¢ | 38.5¢ | $1,450 | +$737 | +$200 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.7k | 10.4¢ | 9.5¢ | $1,397 | −$131 | +$100 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 42.9k | 1.9¢ | 3.1¢ | $1,310 | +$496 | +$1,503 | |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,690 | 71¢ | 71.5¢ | $1,208 | +$8.45 | −$65 | |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,243 | 90.8¢ | 92.5¢ | $1,149 | +$21 | −$271 | |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 84.3k | 0.6¢ | 1.4¢ | $1,138 | +$608 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 10.4k | 52¢ | 10.5¢ | $1,093 | −$4,320 | −$287 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1,111 | 92.4¢ | 92.6¢ | $1,028 | +$1.67 | −$15.7k | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 8,270 | 10.4¢ | 11.5¢ | $951 | +$89 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 54.5k | 1.1¢ | 1.7¢ | $899 | +$278 | +$4,679 | |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 866 | 80.7¢ | 95.5¢ | $827 | +$128 | $0 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5,418 | 15.3¢ | 15.1¢ | $815 | −$14 | +$914 | |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 806 | 87.6¢ | 97.5¢ | $785 | +$79 | −$3,175 | |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? | Yes | 1,129 | 67.7¢ | 69.5¢ | $785 | +$21 | −$65 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 18.8k | 13.4¢ | 4.1¢ | $759 | −$1,761 | +$42.8k | |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1,144 | 58.1¢ | 64.5¢ | $738 | +$73 | −$26 | |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 2,389 | 38.2¢ | 28.5¢ | $681 | −$233 | +$2,654 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,059 | 25.7¢ | 22¢ | $673 | −$112 | +$323 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.3k | 18.2¢ | 6.5¢ | $669 | −$1,202 | +$113 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 3,581 | 9.5¢ | 17.5¢ | $627 | +$287 | +$16 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6,070 | 10¢ | 10.2¢ | $619 | +$9.98 | +$331 | |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 600 | 97¢ | 98.3¢ | $590 | +$7.30 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 665 | 87.9¢ | 85.8¢ | $571 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 604 | 89.3¢ | 92.5¢ | $559 | +$19 | −$792 | |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | No | 650 | 85.9¢ | 85.5¢ | $556 | −$2.75 | −$4.44 | |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | No | 544 | 95.6¢ | 95.6¢ | $519 | −$0.49 | −$209 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8,633 | 4.2¢ | 5.9¢ | $514 | +$154 | +$1,558 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 600 | 86¢ | 85.5¢ | $513 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | No | 1,924 | 17.4¢ | 26.5¢ | $510 | +$176 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1,932 | 15.9¢ | 26.4¢ | $509 | +$202 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat? | Yes | 1,303 | 36.2¢ | 38.5¢ | $502 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,704 | 26.1¢ | 18.5¢ | $500 | −$205 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 497 | 94.4¢ | 95.5¢ | $475 | +$5.00 | −$453 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.7k | 1.6¢ | 2.8¢ | $460 | +$192 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 9,197 | 6.2¢ | 4.9¢ | $451 | −$117 | +$4,946 | |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | No | 471 | 94¢ | 94.5¢ | $446 | +$2.36 | −$176 | |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 444 | 96.2¢ | 99.9¢ | $443 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 600 | 72.3¢ | 70.5¢ | $423 | −$11 | −$14 | |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 278k | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $417 | −$716 | $0 | |
