sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,042

ThanksGivingTurkey1001

0xbac…3429
WhalePnL 10k+WR 60+1y+CryptoSportOtherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$38.5kvol $5.20M
PnL 30d−$17.4kgains $17.5k · losses $31.3k
PnL 7d−$19.1kwin rate 7d 53.3%
Win rate69.0%adj 68.1% · 30d 61.5%
Open value$271kcash n/a
Positions40 / 455open / all-time
Max drawdown−47.5%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$52.9kbelow peak −$20.6kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 69.0% · shrunk toward 50%70
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable89
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity53

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 40

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes155k85.3¢86.3¢$134k+$1,409+$10.8k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No39.8k83.7¢89.5¢$35.6k+$2,296$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No17.3k94.8¢95.8¢$16.6k+$169$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No12.1k88.4¢90.5¢$11.0k+$248$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes75.9k15¢13.5¢$10.3k−$1,138−$7,454
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes13.6k31.3¢56.3¢$7,664+$3,402+$840
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No7,00879.1¢95¢$6,657+$1,111+$1,091
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?No6,23955.8¢83.5¢$5,209+$1,725+$198
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No4,69585.3¢95.6¢$4,486+$481$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?No4,08890¢95.5¢$3,904+$225+$29
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No3,51486.2¢94.7¢$3,326+$297$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No3,92866.4¢80¢$3,143+$533+$1,967
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No4,50057.9¢58.8¢$2,644+$38$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?No2,79086¢94¢$2,621+$221+$13
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No4,80875.1¢54.5¢$2,620−$992−$986
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No10,00015.2¢24.5¢$2,450+$926$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes2,38889.9¢93.5¢$2,232+$87$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?No2,26286¢97.2¢$2,199+$253$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?No2,00192¢96.1¢$1,922+$82+$68
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?No1,94591¢77.4¢$1,504−$265$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No1,50093¢94.5¢$1,418+$23$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes2,00368¢68.5¢$1,372+$10$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No1,81780.5¢74¢$1,345−$118$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?No1,52184.5¢77¢$1,172−$115$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No1,13780¢95¢$1,080+$171$0
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?No99094.4¢96¢$950+$15$0
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic1,00093¢92.5¢$925−$5.00$0
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No66480¢95.3¢$633+$101+$56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes1,18677¢41.5¢$492−$421$0
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes52270¢80.5¢$420+$55$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes1,35348.7¢30.5¢$413−$247$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes39166¢82¢$320+$63$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes35067¢82¢$287+$53$0
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?No15483.3¢91.4¢$141+$13$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes6060¢81.5¢$49+$13+$352
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?No5364¢88¢$46+$13$0
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?No13364.7¢4.6¢$6.13−$80$0
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?Yes553¢95.4¢$4.77+$2.12$0
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?No582¢93.5¢$4.70+$0.58$0
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?No290¢19.4¢$0.37−$1.36−$99

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?86¢95.3k$82.0k69%68Whale
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?15¢44.1k$6,61369%68
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?49¢980$48069%68
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?48¢350$16869%68
BUY NoWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?89.5¢1,310$1,17369%68
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84¢2,813$2,36369%68
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?8¢82$6.6069%68
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?82.2¢333$27469%68
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?10.1¢1,119$11369%68
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?11.9¢98$1269%68
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?86.4¢7,054$6,09269%68
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?15.1¢10.5k$1,58469%68
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?82.8¢85$7169%68
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?92¢5,970$5,49369%68
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?17.9¢699$12569%68
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?21¢752$15869%68
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?79.6¢16.1k$12.8k69%68Whale
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?23.8¢200$4869%68
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?23¢1,186$27369%68
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?79.3¢880$69769%68