| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 13.2k | 85.9¢ | 97.9¢ | $12.9k | +$1,575 | +$523 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 11.1k | 97.6¢ | 99.8¢ | $11.1k | +$236 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 13.2k | 43.7¢ | 62.5¢ | $8,279 | +$2,489 | −$226 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 9,344 | 58.6¢ | 57.5¢ | $5,373 | −$98 | +$274 | |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 4,535 | 82.7¢ | 96.9¢ | $4,392 | +$640 | +$24 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 6,666 | 63¢ | 63.5¢ | $4,233 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 4,296 | 79.2¢ | 96.5¢ | $4,144 | +$740 | +$4.54 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 4,283 | 72.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $4,048 | +$941 | +$70 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 3,696 | 87.8¢ | 97.8¢ | $3,613 | +$366 | +$205 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 7,110 | 52.1¢ | 42.5¢ | $3,022 | −$682 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 3,333 | 73.9¢ | 82.2¢ | $2,738 | +$273 | −$144 | |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,427 | 90.4¢ | 97.1¢ | $2,357 | +$163 | $0 | |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 2,417 | 88.7¢ | 97.4¢ | $2,354 | +$210 | +$53 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3,695 | 56.6¢ | 62.5¢ | $2,309 | +$218 | +$53 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 2,438 | 84.9¢ | 94.5¢ | $2,304 | +$235 | −$2.02 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2,686 | 77.9¢ | 83.5¢ | $2,243 | +$151 | +$3,440 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 1,861 | 90.2¢ | 98.2¢ | $1,827 | +$149 | +$39 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3,918 | 40.1¢ | 44.5¢ | $1,744 | +$171 | +$52 | |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 1,741 | 92.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,663 | +$53 | $0 | |
| Penguins vs. Blue Jackets | Penguins | 3,333 | 48.3¢ | 47.5¢ | $1,583 | −$28 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8,065 | 12.3¢ | 18¢ | $1,448 | +$454 | +$1,232 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1,521 | 61.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,437 | +$502 | +$1,782 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,222 | 62¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,389 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 2,222 | 62¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,389 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,222 | 67¢ | 61.5¢ | $1,367 | −$122 | $0 | |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 1,368 | 96.2¢ | 95.9¢ | $1,311 | −$4.79 | $0 | |
| Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | Yes | 2,722 | 61.4¢ | 45.5¢ | $1,239 | −$433 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 1,666 | 67.3¢ | 69.5¢ | $1,158 | +$36 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 1,333 | 83.2¢ | 84.5¢ | $1,126 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 1,110 | 61.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $1,104 | +$422 | $0 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 1,111 | 97.6¢ | 98.8¢ | $1,097 | +$13 | +$174 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 1,109 | 85¢ | 97.5¢ | $1,081 | +$138 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,111 | 87¢ | 96.8¢ | $1,075 | +$108 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1,111 | 81¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,005 | +$106 | +$4,229 | |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 91.4k | 2¢ | 1.1¢ | $960 | −$861 | +$281 | |
| Will Dario Amodei be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 995 | 91.7¢ | 93¢ | $925 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 9,024 | 5.1¢ | 10.2¢ | $916 | +$452 | +$123 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6,163 | 12.8¢ | 14.5¢ | $894 | +$105 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 939 | 87.1¢ | 92.5¢ | $869 | +$51 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1,072 | 81¢ | 80.2¢ | $859 | −$9.11 | +$7.69 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 942 | 42.4¢ | 87.3¢ | $822 | +$422 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | No | 917 | 75¢ | 87.5¢ | $802 | +$115 | $0 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | Yes | 2,942 | 35.6¢ | 26.5¢ | $780 | −$267 | +$199 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 3,333 | 21.3¢ | 22.5¢ | $750 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 932 | 70.6¢ | 79.5¢ | $741 | +$83 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 1,111 | 47¢ | 62.5¢ | $694 | +$172 | +$257 | |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 1,747 | 39.4¢ | 38.5¢ | $672 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5,026 | 2.3¢ | 13.2¢ | $661 | +$543 | +$1,224 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 734 | 56.7¢ | 88.5¢ | $649 | +$233 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 684 | 43.6¢ | 94.5¢ | $647 | +$348 | −$116 | |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 652 | 65.8¢ | 95.5¢ | $622 | +$194 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 555 | 99¢ | 99.9¢ | $554 | +$5.00 | $0 | |
| Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? | No | 555 | 91¢ | 97.6¢ | $541 | +$36 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 555 | 76¢ | 94.5¢ | $524 | +$103 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 539 | 83.9¢ | 97¢ | $523 | +$71 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3,333 | 29¢ | 15.5¢ | $517 | −$450 | $0 | |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? | No | 533 | 81.7¢ | 95.5¢ | $509 | +$73 | $0 | |
| Kraken vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5 | Under | 1,111 | 45¢ | 44.5¢ | $494 | −$5.55 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 611 | 52.3¢ | 78.5¢ | $479 | +$160 | +$139 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 500 | 85¢ | 95.5¢ | $477 | +$52 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 666 | 67¢ | 68.5¢ | $456 | +$9.99 | $0 | |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 477 | 55.7¢ | 93.5¢ | $446 | +$180 | +$702 | |
| Graham Platner divorce by October 31? | No | 448 | 90¢ | 95.6¢ | $428 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 820 | 60.2¢ | 51.6¢ | $423 | −$71 | −$0.55 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,749 | 5¢ | 8.1¢ | $382 | +$144 | +$853 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1,794 | 75.2¢ | 18.5¢ | $332 | −$1,018 | −$49 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 382 | 63.5¢ | 85.5¢ | $327 | +$84 | +$566 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 352 | 83.3¢ | 90¢ | $317 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 349 | 32¢ | 85.5¢ | $298 | +$186 | +$4.44 | |
| Kraken vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 463 | 57¢ | 57.5¢ | $266 | +$2.31 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1,111 | 22¢ | 22.5¢ | $250 | +$5.55 | $0 | |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | No | 260 | 65.5¢ | 88.5¢ | $230 | +$60 | $0 | |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | No | 222 | 80¢ | 94.6¢ | $210 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | Yes | 239 | 75¢ | 86.5¢ | $207 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 427 | 43¢ | 44.5¢ | $190 | +$6.41 | +$67 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,173 | 6.2¢ | 5.9¢ | $186 | −$12 | +$96 | |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 781 | 11.3¢ | 23.8¢ | $186 | +$97 | +$945 | |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | No | 367 | 51¢ | 47¢ | $173 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,131 | 5.7¢ | 15.1¢ | $170 | +$106 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2,298 | 0.6¢ | 7.4¢ | $169 | +$154 | +$1,136 | |
| Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? | Yes | 225 | 69¢ | 71.5¢ | $161 | +$5.64 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1,111 | 14.1¢ | 14.2¢ | $158 | +$1.67 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,866 | 1.2¢ | 3.1¢ | $148 | +$88 | +$558 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 1,407 | 40.8¢ | 10.5¢ | $148 | −$426 | −$657 | |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 2,837 | 7.3¢ | 5.2¢ | $148 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6,119 | 0.7¢ | 2.3¢ | $141 | +$100 | $0 | |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 136 | 7.9¢ | 91.1¢ | $124 | +$113 | $0 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2,578 | 0.6¢ | 4.6¢ | $119 | +$102 | +$216 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,178 | 0.9¢ | 2.8¢ | $115 | +$76 | +$295 | |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 8,011 | 0.6¢ | 1.4¢ | $108 | +$57 | $0 | |
| Will Kai Cenat Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? | No | 111 | 95¢ | 93.1¢ | $103 | −$2.16 | $0 | |
| Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? | No | 111 | 85¢ | 92.5¢ | $103 | +$8.32 | −$1.65 | |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,945 | 0.8¢ | 2.6¢ | $101 | +$71 | $0 | |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6,008 | 0.6¢ | 1.7¢ | $99 | +$61 | +$141 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 136 | 70¢ | 70.5¢ | $96 | +$0.68 | $0 | |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,005 | 0.6¢ | 2.3¢ | $90 | +$64 | +$14 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1,703 | 17.9¢ | 5.1¢ | $86 | −$219 | +$7.22 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,267 | 41.7¢ | 6.5¢ | $82 | −$446 | −$5.55 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 649 | 46.4¢ | 12.5¢ | $81 | −$220 | $0 | |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2,479 | 3.9¢ | 3.2¢ | $78 | −$17 | $0 | |