sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,542

takeabreath

0xbae…89bd
WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,236vol $48.6k
PnL 30d−$107gains $628 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$29win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate76.2%adj 63.4% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$5,181cash n/a
Positions32 / 53open / all-time
Max drawdown−32.2%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 5d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,132below peak −$415Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 76.2% · shrunk toward 50%59
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable57
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d83
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 32

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,82912.9¢13.2¢$767+$16$0
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes1,07837.1¢44¢$474+$74$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes4,7827.8¢9.2¢$438+$63$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes68244¢63.5¢$433+$133$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes57752¢61.5¢$355+$55$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,57623.8¢22.2¢$349−$26$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes40574¢73.5¢$298−$2.03$0
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes30565.6¢88.5¢$270+$70$0
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes40062.5¢55.5¢$222−$28$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes71435¢28.5¢$204−$46$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes42441.2¢47.8¢$203+$28+$47
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?No41239.3¢42¢$173+$11$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes32331¢37.5¢$121+$21$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes88762¢13.5¢$120−$430$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes31340¢35.5¢$111−$14$0
Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?Yes35030¢29.5¢$103−$1.75$0
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes46226¢19.5¢$90−$30$0
Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction?Yes50020¢15.5¢$78−$23$0
Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?Yes25628¢29.5¢$76+$3.85$0
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?Yes20040¢37.5¢$75−$5.00$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes20030¢30.5¢$61+$1.00$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes28217.8¢16.5¢$46−$3.54$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes39610.1¢10.4¢$41+$0.99$0
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes55019¢6.5¢$36−$69$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes50010¢5.5¢$28−$23$0
Plague pandemic in 2026?Yes5814.3¢2.2¢$13−$12$0
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes1,6662.1¢0¢$0−$34−$1.33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes9745.1¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?Yes64538.8¢0¢$0−$250−$6.12
Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?Yes30845.3¢0¢$0−$139−$3.05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes25639¢0¢$0−$100−$3.05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No22144¢0¢$0−$97−$5.68

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?10.1¢396$4076%39
BUY YesWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?74¢405$30076%39
BUY YesPlague pandemic in 2026?4.3¢581$2576%39
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?40¢313$12576%39
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?31¢323$10076%39
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?93¢423$39376%39
BUY YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?30¢200$6076%39
BUY YesWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?23.8¢1,576$37576%39
BUY YesWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?7.8¢4,782$37576%39
BUY YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?13.3¢5,128$68276%39
SELL NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?88¢1,724$1,51776%39
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?39¢256$10076%39
BUY YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?17.8¢282$5076%39
BUY YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?10¢500$5076%39
BUY YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?5.1¢974$5076%39
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House52¢577$30076%39
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House35¢714$25076%39
BUY YesNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?19¢20$3.8076%39
SELL NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?44¢120$5376%39
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?44¢341$15076%39