Traders/Unranked

BabyGroot

0xbef…300d

PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSport

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$54.2kvol $195M

PnL 30d+$348gains $8,632 · losses $3,642

PnL 7d+$1,370win rate 7d 78.5%

Win rate50.1%adj 50.1% · 30d 57.3%

Open value$10.1kcash n/a

Positions360 / 4,228open / all-time

Max drawdown−28.9%of equity peak

Account age1.1ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$45.1kbelow peak −$7,072Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale68

Adjusted win rateraw 50.1% · shrunk toward 50%25

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity71

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yesclosed+$1,313 Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yesopen+$839 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$637 Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yesopen+$579 Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$326

Worst markets

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$666 Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$460 Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$392 Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$383 Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$354

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	151k	0.4¢	0.2¢	$227	−$379	+$201	25mo
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	9,622	7.7¢	2.2¢	$207	−$537	−$128	3mo
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	81.0k	0.3¢	0.3¢	$203	−$41	$0	25mo
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	124k	0.1¢	0.2¢	$186	+$64	+$34	25mo
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	117k	0.1¢	0.2¢	$175	+$54	+$59	25mo
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	96.4k	0.3¢	0.2¢	$145	−$191	+$125	25mo
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0k	0.4¢	0.3¢	$125	−$75	+$77	25mo
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	49.8k	0.5¢	0.3¢	$124	−$145	+$125	25mo
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	81.0k	0.3¢	0.2¢	$122	−$122	+$53	25mo
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	81.0k	0.3¢	0.2¢	$122	−$122	+$161	25mo
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	48.2k	0.2¢	0.3¢	$121	+$1.40	+$5.19	25mo
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	235k	0.3¢	0.1¢	$118	−$479	+$19	25mo
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	21.0k	0.7¢	0.5¢	$115	−$31	+$25	25mo
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	72.4k	0.1¢	0.2¢	$109	+$36	$0	25mo
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	69.8k	0.5¢	0.2¢	$105	−$217	+$61	25mo
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	207k	0.1¢	0.1¢	$103	−$123	+$128	25mo
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	204k	0.3¢	0.1¢	$102	−$447	+$64	25mo
Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	65.5k	0.1¢	0.2¢	$98	+$33	+$43	8mo
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	28.0k	0.2¢	0.4¢	$98	+$42	+$187	25mo
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	21.5k	0.5¢	0.5¢	$97	−$18	+$28	25mo
Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	64.4k	0.1¢	0.2¢	$97	+$33	+$53	8mo
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	60.4k	0.3¢	0.2¢	$91	−$68	+$47	25mo
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	2,246	0.6¢	4¢	$90	+$76	$0	ended
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	59.8k	0.1¢	0.2¢	$90	+$24	+$13	25mo
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	59.0k	0.4¢	0.2¢	$89	−$130	+$38	25mo
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	6,523	0.9¢	1.4¢	$88	+$28	+$11	25mo
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	172k	0.2¢	0.1¢	$86	−$280	+$93	25mo
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	172k	0.3¢	0.1¢	$86	−$368	+$46	25mo
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	56.0k	0.1¢	0.2¢	$84	+$23	+$45	25mo
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	82.7k	0.4¢	0.1¢	$83	−$288	+$134	25mo
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	164k	0.1¢	0.1¢	$82	−$82	$0	25mo
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	54.0k	0.4¢	0.2¢	$81	−$122	+$22	25mo
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	1,966	5.2¢	4.1¢	$81	−$22	+$18	19d 15h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	161k	0.3¢	0.1¢	$81	−$335	$0	25mo
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	39.9k	0.1¢	0.2¢	$80	+$39	+$50	6mo
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	11.3k	0.6¢	0.7¢	$79	+$11	+$195	6mo
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	3,349	2.7¢	2.4¢	$79	−$12	+$0.20	4mo
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	156k	0.1¢	0.1¢	$78	−$78	$0	25mo
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	51.6k	0.1¢	0.2¢	$77	+$12	+$123	25mo
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	22.0k	0.8¢	0.4¢	$77	−$99	+$9.99	25mo
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	51.0k	0.6¢	0.2¢	$77	−$229	+$151	25mo
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	51.0k	0.4¢	0.2¢	$77	−$128	+$74	25mo
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	152k	0.1¢	0.1¢	$76	−$126	+$4.86	25mo
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	151k	0.2¢	0.1¢	$76	−$227	+$113	25mo
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	2,600	3.2¢	2.9¢	$74	−$10	−$22	3mo
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	143k	0.4¢	0.1¢	$72	−$479	+$248	25mo
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10.9k	0.8¢	0.7¢	$71	−$16	+$46	25mo
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	28.1k	0.3¢	0.3¢	$70	−$21	+$31	6mo
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	26.9k	0.5¢	0.3¢	$67	−$66	+$645	54d 15h
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	134k	0.4¢	0.1¢	$67	−$404	+$57	25mo
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	4,100	1.5¢	1.6¢	$66	+$4.10	+$20	54d 15h
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	Yes	1,126	8¢	5.7¢	$64	−$26	+$8.37	3mo
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	124k	0.1¢	0.1¢	$62	−$123	+$52	22d 15h
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	123k	0.3¢	0.1¢	$61	−$316	+$51	25mo
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	5,501	0.7¢	1.1¢	$61	+$25	+$814	54d 15h
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	1,500	3.8¢	4¢	$60	+$3.00	+$5.82	22d 15h
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	114k	0.1¢	0.1¢	$57	−$57	$0	25mo
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	112k	0.4¢	0.1¢	$56	−$351	+$26	25mo
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	1,100	5.5¢	5.1¢	$56	−$4.95	+$1.58	3mo
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	110k	0.2¢	0.1¢	$55	−$174	+$33	25mo
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	106k	0.1¢	0.1¢	$53	−$53	$0	25mo
Plague pandemic in 2026?	Yes	2,600	2.9¢	2¢	$52	−$24	$0	3mo
Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	14.8k	0.3¢	0.4¢	$52	+$7.40	+$0.20	8mo
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	102k	0.4¢	0.1¢	$51	−$357	+$2.82	25mo
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	50.6k	0.3¢	0.1¢	$51	−$111	−$50	54d 15h
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	2,100	2.3¢	2.4¢	$49	+$1.05	+$2.01	6mo
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	510	9¢	9.5¢	$48	+$2.55	$0	15mo
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	510	9¢	9.5¢	$48	+$2.55	$0	22d 15h
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	13.4k	0.3¢	0.4¢	$47	+$12	+$80	25mo
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	31.0k	0.1¢	0.2¢	$46	+$15	−$1.32	3mo
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	2,500	1.9¢	1.9¢	$46	−$1.25	+$52	6mo
Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	2,961	0.2¢	1.5¢	$44	+$38	$0	7mo
Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	5,100	0.9¢	0.9¢	$43	−$2.55	$0	8mo
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	4,506	1¢	1¢	$43	−$2.25	+$18	3mo
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	12.0k	0.4¢	0.4¢	$42	−$1.33	+$66	25mo
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	83.5k	0.1¢	0.1¢	$42	−$42	$0	25mo
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	81.9k	0.3¢	0.1¢	$41	−$165	+$61	25mo
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	909	4¢	4.5¢	$41	+$4.54	$0	8mo
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2,076	1.8¢	2¢	$40	+$3.11	+$17	25mo
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	2,791	1.1¢	1.5¢	$40	+$8.44	+$13	3mo
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	2,100	1.9¢	1.9¢	$40	$0	+$4.20	4mo
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	410	8.4¢	9.5¢	$39	+$4.68	−$15	22d 15h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	11.0k	0.8¢	0.4¢	$39	−$50	$0	16d 15h
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	6,963	0.7¢	0.5¢	$38	−$13	+$22	3mo
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	510	9¢	7.5¢	$38	−$7.65	$0	15mo
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	4,200	2¢	0.9¢	$38	−$48	+$0.48	4mo
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	24.9k	0.6¢	0.2¢	$37	−$112	+$11	25mo
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	10.5k	0.9¢	0.4¢	$37	−$55	+$4.61	6mo
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,100	5¢	3.4¢	$37	−$18	$0	3mo
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	73.0k	0.6¢	0.1¢	$37	−$403	+$11	25mo
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	610	6.1¢	5.9¢	$36	−$0.92	+$5.89	25mo
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	72.3k	0.1¢	0.1¢	$36	−$36	$0	25mo
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,100	4¢	3.3¢	$36	−$8.25	$0	3mo
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	71.1k	0.3¢	0.1¢	$36	−$187	+$59	25mo
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	71.0k	0.4¢	0.1¢	$36	−$249	+$91	25mo
Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	7,100	0.3¢	0.5¢	$35	+$14	$0	18mo
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	9,929	0.3¢	0.4¢	$35	+$3.20	+$27	25mo
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	68.6k	0.2¢	0.1¢	$34	−$99	+$67	25mo
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	5,702	0.9¢	0.6¢	$34	−$16	+$5.16	3mo
Will Eintracht Frankfurt be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?	Yes	6,829	0.3¢	0.5¢	$34	+$14	$0	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
2d ago	BUY Yes	Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	0.7¢	127	$0.89	50%	61
2d ago	SELL Yes	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2.6¢	715	$19	50%	61
3d ago	SELL Yes	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	0.8¢	760	$6.08	50%	61
3d ago	SELL Yes	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	5¢	620	$31	50%	61
5d ago	BUY Yes	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	2.2¢	137	$3.00	50%	61
6d ago	BUY Yes	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	0.8¢	2,063	$17	50%	61
6d ago	BUY Yes	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	1¢	3,498	$35	50%	61
6d ago	SELL Yes	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	52.3¢	30	$16	50%	61
6d ago	SELL Yes	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2.8¢	7	$0.19	50%	61
6d ago	SELL Yes	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	0.5¢	59	$0.29	50%	61
6d ago	SELL Yes	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2.6¢	357	$9.29	50%	61
8d ago	SELL Yes	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1¢	21	$0.21	50%	61
8d ago	SELL Yes	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	15¢	310	$47	50%	61
8d ago	SELL Yes	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	0.1¢	15.0k	$15	50%	61
8d ago	SELL Yes	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	0.2¢	2,197	$4.39	50%	61
10d ago	SELL Yes	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	0.4¢	100	$0.40	50%	61
10d ago	SELL Yes	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	0.9¢	5	$0.05	50%	61
10d ago	BUY Yes	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	4.1¢	334	$14	50%	61
10d ago	BUY Yes	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	0.2¢	2,530	$5.06	50%	61
10d ago	SELL Yes	Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	2¢	309	$6.18	50%	61