sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Freeborne

0xbfc…12a6
WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$4,002vol $655k
PnL 30d+$516gains $478 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$36win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate78.2%adj 77.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$13.8kcash n/a
Positions48 / 1,407open / all-time
Max drawdown−81.8%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$6,308below peak −$32Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 78.2% · shrunk toward 50%93
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d89
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity18

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31? · Noclosed+$674Kash Patel out by December 31? · Noopen+$643Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? · Noclosed+$535Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Noopen+$477Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? · Noclosed+$435

Worst markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? · Noclosed−$635Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 3 2026? · Noclosed−$478Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$412Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July? · Noclosed−$350Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? · Noclosed−$285

Open positions · 48

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Kash Patel out by December 31?No1,46534.1¢78¢$1,143+$643$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1,36070.3¢83.5¢$1,135+$179+$298
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo90393¢91.5¢$826−$14$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No64389.6¢96.8¢$622+$46−$42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?No63379¢88.5¢$560+$60$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes65954.6¢83.5¢$551+$191−$9.47
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?No91774.5¢58.5¢$536−$147$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes59272.6¢87.3¢$517+$87$0
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?No39186.9¢96.6¢$377+$38$0
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $40B by December 31?No37987.1¢93¢$352+$22$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes49770.5¢69.2¢$343−$6.54−$41
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No36468.7¢90.5¢$329+$79$0
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?No33874¢97.5¢$329+$79$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?No32393¢97.3¢$314+$14$0
GTA 6 launch postponed again?No32290¢96.3¢$310+$20$0
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No33390.1¢92.5¢$308+$8.06$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?No42271¢72¢$304+$4.12$0
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?No31894.3¢95.5¢$304+$3.82$0
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No32692¢92.5¢$302+$1.63$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No31772.7¢94.5¢$300+$69+$57
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?No28787¢94.9¢$273+$23$0
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No29485¢90¢$265+$15$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No34529¢73¢$252+$152$0
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?No23585¢98.9¢$233+$33$0
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $60B by December 31?No22190.7¢96.6¢$213+$13$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No38877.5¢53.5¢$208−$93$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15.5B by October 31?No21195¢97.6¢$205+$5.37$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes21194.7¢94.2¢$199−$0.96$0
Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?No21493.7¢90¢$192−$7.84$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No23087¢74.5¢$171−$29$0
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31?No19472¢83.5¢$162+$22$0
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $29.5B by October 31?No17486.1¢88.5¢$154+$4.20$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No14092.9¢98¢$137+$7.07$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No39030.6¢34.5¢$135+$15$0
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by October 31?No13390¢96.4¢$129+$8.53$0
Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?No15879¢80.5¢$127+$2.39$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No12489¢95.6¢$118+$8.16$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No11790¢97.8¢$114+$9.04$0
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?No11885.1¢95.7¢$112+$12$0
Will EUR/USD hit 1.24 (High) in 2026?No10892.6¢96.1¢$104+$3.75$0
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes12282¢82.5¢$101+$0.61$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?No32735.5¢30.5¢$100−$16$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No13574¢71.5¢$97−$3.38$0
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?No11686¢82¢$95−$4.66$0
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes9484.9¢67.5¢$64−$16$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No7064¢69.5¢$49+$3.85$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?No2289¢91¢$20+$0.45$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes4334.9¢40¢$17+$2.17$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?89¢124$11078%61
BUY NoGemini 4.0 released by October 9, 2026?97¢103$10078%61
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?73.2¢137$10078%61
SELL YesWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?99¢313$31078%61
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?89¢22$2078%61
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House93¢43$4078%61
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House93¢108$10078%61
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House93¢215$20078%61
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House93¢215$20078%61
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House93¢323$30078%61
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?94.7¢211$20078%61
BUY NoWill Grok Bot be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?80¢31$2578%61
BUY NoWill Grok Bot be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?78.7¢127$10078%61
BUY NoWill Grok Bot be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?93.7¢214$20078%61
BUY YesWill Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?64¢156$10078%61
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?70¢286$20078%61
SELL YesWill Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?63.1¢340$21578%61
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?93¢323$30078%61
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?79¢127$10078%61
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?79¢506$40078%61