sharpside
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Traders/Rank #389

Eatpraylove

0xc02…1fa8
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$518kvol $62.8M
PnL 30d+$109kgains $129k · losses $22.7k
PnL 7d−$524win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate64.0%adj 63.5% · 30d 70.6%
Open value$253kcash n/a
Positions119 / 1,535open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 5d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$592kbelow peak −$2,646Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale82
Adjusted win rateraw 64.0% · shrunk toward 50%59
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d81
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No56.1k84.2¢84.5¢$47.4k+$175+$55.5k
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes53.9k38.3¢48.6¢$26.2k+$5,526+$1,117
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes35.5k24.9¢63.5¢$22.6k+$13.7k+$10.4k
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No26.1k85.5¢84.5¢$22.0k−$270$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes66.2k29.1¢27.5¢$18.2k−$1,054+$3,221
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes20.0k91¢90.5¢$18.1k−$100+$674
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No20.0k91¢90.5¢$18.1k−$100+$948
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes16.9k84.9¢85.5¢$14.5k+$95$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo15.0k91.3¢91.5¢$13.7k+$25+$3,378
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes12.1k14.6¢71.3¢$8,649+$6,878+$1,184
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes5,71369.5¢71.5¢$4,084+$116+$361
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?No3,83997.6¢96.5¢$3,705−$42$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No5,93858¢61.5¢$3,652+$207+$283
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo3,67798.4¢99.3¢$3,649+$31−$2,437
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No5,00066.4¢64.5¢$3,225−$95$0
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?No4,37564¢71.5¢$3,128+$328$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No4,67340.8¢65.5¢$3,061+$1,154+$92
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes11.0k33.9¢25.5¢$2,808−$923+$1,542
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No3,85170.9¢70.5¢$2,715−$14+$507
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes54.3k4.3¢3.3¢$1,793−$550+$1,440
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes2,45640.8¢66.5¢$1,633+$630+$58
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No1,28285.4¢97.5¢$1,250+$155+$484
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes1,50078.7¢83¢$1,245+$65$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No1,44068.4¢77.5¢$1,116+$131+$1.77
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00092.6¢92.5¢$925−$1.50$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No1,43060.9¢55.5¢$794−$77+$5.46
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?Yes1,09972.1¢68.5¢$753−$39$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No50090¢95¢$475+$25+$125
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes74.2k0.6¢0.5¢$334−$144+$265
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,3804.5¢5.9¢$320+$79+$255
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No1,00073.5¢31.5¢$315−$420$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1,63211.8¢17.5¢$286+$93$0
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes64710.5¢38.5¢$249+$181+$4.99
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No5,0008.5¢4.5¢$223−$203−$270
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes11.2k11.2¢1.9¢$208−$1,052$0
Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboYes4,96519.1¢3.1¢$154−$793+$11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes2,00038.5¢7.5¢$150−$620$0
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes6,2941.6¢2.4¢$148+$45−$4.28
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes94.1k1.9¢0.2¢$141−$1,648$0
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes13673¢90.5¢$123+$24$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes5,0003.8¢2.3¢$112−$77+$36
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?No11491.7¢94.8¢$108+$3.54$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes81611.7¢13¢$106+$11$0
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes76412.3¢13¢$99+$5.15+$0.10
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes8,7531.7¢0.9¢$74−$71$0
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes2,0009.5¢3.7¢$73−$117$0
Will Texas Longhorns Win the 2026 SEC Championship?No9569¢76¢$72+$6.67$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No9872¢73.5¢$72+$1.47+$3.18
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No8088¢88.5¢$70+$0.40$0
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes42010.9¢15¢$63+$17$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes22324¢26.5¢$59+$5.58$0
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes22.0k0.7¢0.3¢$55−$99+$233
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No29068¢16.5¢$48−$149+$118
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes5699.9¢7¢$40−$16+$10
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?No3576¢96.4¢$34+$7.17$0
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.5¢$30−$9.48$0
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Yes43619¢6¢$26−$57+$157
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k1¢0.3¢$25−$75$0
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,2782.6¢0.3¢$16−$121+$65
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes1772¢91.5¢$16+$3.34$0
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.3¢$14−$26$0
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.3¢$14−$26$0
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes14010.8¢8.2¢$11−$3.72+$3.72
Will Indiana Hoosiers Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?No1574.4¢76¢$11+$0.24−$103
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes8710¢11.5¢$9.99+$1.27+$63
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.2¢$8.15−$31$0
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.2¢$8.15−$31$0
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes2,4850.7¢0.3¢$7.45−$11+$17
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?Yes2112¢29.5¢$6.20+$3.67$0
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.1¢$5.43−$34$0
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.1¢$5.43−$34$0
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.1¢$5.43−$34$0
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.1¢$5.43−$34$0
Will Trump resign before 2027?Yes1725.2¢2.5¢$4.29−$4.66$0
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes2,9300.7¢0.1¢$2.93−$18−$15
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.1¢$2.71−$37$0
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.1¢$2.71−$37$0
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.1¢$2.71−$37$0
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.1¢$2.71−$37$0
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.1¢$2.71−$37$0
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.1¢$2.71−$37$0
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.1¢$2.71−$37$0
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.1¢$2.71−$37$0
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.1¢$2.71−$37$0
Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.1¢$2.71−$37$0
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5,4300.7¢0.1¢$2.71−$37$0
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2,7502.4¢0.1¢$1.37−$64+$942
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes31.6¢0.3¢$0.01−$0.05−$76
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsIron Wing35.0k41.1¢0¢$0−$14.4k$0
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No11.0k46¢0¢$0−$5,060+$134
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,60018.3¢0¢$0−$1,758$0
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No5,91663.2¢0¢$0−$3,739+$215
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes4,29913.5¢0¢$0−$581−$213
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Liquid4,20038¢0¢$0−$1,596−$29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes3,15020.9¢0¢$0−$660+$68
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No3,09523¢0¢$0−$712$0
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?No2,14463.1¢0¢$0−$1,353$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Yes2,05510.5¢0¢$0−$215$0
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes2,00418.6¢0¢$0−$373−$577
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,44130.1¢0¢$0−$434+$276

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoAny of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?64¢4,375$2,80064%54
SELL NoWill the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?63¢130$8264%54
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?58¢5,978$3,46764%54
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?99.5¢44$4464%54
SELL YesGianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?9¢20$1.8064%54
SELL NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?63¢1,000$63064%54
SELL No2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House99.4¢501$49864%54
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢10.0k$8,40064%54
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢10.0k$8,40064%54
BUY NoUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?99.7¢1,731$1,72664%54
BUY YesRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?98.8¢250$24764%54
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?99.4¢991$98564%54
BUY YesRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?95.2¢218$20864%54
SELL YesWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?99.8¢11.4k$11.4k64%54Whale
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?98.5¢15$1564%54
SELL YesWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?4.2¢391$1664%54
SELL YesWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?99.8¢12.8k$12.8k64%54Whale
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?98.5¢5,000$4,92564%54
SELL YesWill Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?0.4¢260$1.0464%54
SELL NoWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?92.7¢1,289$1,19564%54