sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,614

baran-ludoman

0xc0b…2032
WhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+PoliticsCryptoSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$95.8kvol $3.18M
PnL 30d+$2,031gains $25 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$3,394win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$100kcash n/a
Positions68 / 236open / all-time
Max drawdown−22.7%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$94.9kbelow peak −$18.4kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

62/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale71
Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable79
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d87
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity77

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 68

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US recession by end of 2026?No24.1k81.1¢93.5¢$22.5k+$2,991−$8,823
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes24.1k34.5¢85.7¢$20.7k+$12.3k+$501
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No28.7k49.1¢37.5¢$10.8k−$3,319+$91
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No8,08173.9¢98.3¢$7,939+$1,967−$6,589
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No11.1k58.7¢51.5¢$5,726−$807−$411
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No6,00044¢81.5¢$4,890+$2,250$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No40.0k18¢9.5¢$3,800−$3,392+$3,678
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes3,83063.6¢63.5¢$2,432−$2.68$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes8,40935.5¢26¢$2,186−$801$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes4,99936¢43¢$2,150+$349$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No2,49384.3¢85¢$2,118+$15$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No2,82962.5¢63.5¢$1,797+$27$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No1,69042¢94.5¢$1,597+$887$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No1,50092¢96.3¢$1,444+$64−$2,504
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Yes3,23584.7¢42.5¢$1,375−$1,365$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes3,79057.8¢25.5¢$966−$1,225+$619
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4,99127.1¢15.2¢$756−$596+$24
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4,92913¢15.1¢$742+$103$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes5,45244.2¢13.5¢$736−$1,676+$407
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes1,22258.7¢57.5¢$702−$15$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No1,61536.6¢42.5¢$686+$95$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No1,20058.3¢57¢$684−$16$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes16.8k23.4¢3.8¢$631−$3,307+$245
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes1,54936.1¢36.5¢$565+$5.54$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No1,45834.7¢36.5¢$532+$27$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes1,03335.6¢37.5¢$387+$20+$287
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No2,60773.8¢14.4¢$374−$1,549−$996
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?Yes40055¢78.5¢$314+$94$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No5,93640.1¢4.5¢$264−$2,115−$10.5k
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?No25141¢71.5¢$179+$77$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?No16073¢68.5¢$110−$7.20$0
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes8,58615.3¢1.2¢$99−$1,213+$3,059
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes12.4k7.2¢0.8¢$93−$795+$5,066
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes13063.6¢62.5¢$81−$1.45+$648
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Yes20017¢31.5¢$63+$29$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?Yes54640¢11.5¢$63−$156$0
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes21.0k7.5¢0.3¢$53−$1,529$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?Yes7766.8¢1.9¢$14−$38$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes20.0k38.8¢0¢$0−$7,760$0
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes15.7k14.2¢0¢$0−$2,231+$1,835
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?Yes13.5k10.4¢0¢$0−$1,403+$441
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?Yes11.5k12.2¢0¢$0−$1,399+$184
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 31?Yes8,68319.4¢0¢$0−$1,687$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?Yes7,2861.2¢0¢$0−$88−$4.28
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes6,67720.8¢0¢$0−$1,387+$59
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?Yes6,4579.7¢0¢$0−$627−$29
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?Yes6,3339.8¢0¢$0−$622$0
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No6,27940.8¢0¢$0−$2,560+$843
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes5,9615.8¢0¢$0−$345+$5,916
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?Yes5,7166.4¢0¢$0−$364−$19
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?Yes3,7695.4¢0¢$0−$202$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes3,70731.7¢0¢$0−$1,176+$576
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 30?Yes3,0008¢0¢$0−$240$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 30?Yes2,00030¢0¢$0−$600$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes1,2947.1¢0¢$0−$92+$5,378
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes1,26929.3¢0¢$0−$371+$1,434
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?Yes1,0966.4¢0¢$0−$70+$372
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes1,06310.9¢0¢$0−$116+$1,349
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes1,04215.8¢0¢$0−$165+$592
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?No1,0207.2¢0¢$0−$73$0
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No85811.3¢0¢$0−$97+$989
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes7619.9¢0¢$0−$75+$1,674
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes67320¢0¢$0−$135+$1,193
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No45239¢0¢$0−$176+$16
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?Yes2842.1¢0¢$0−$5.82+$669
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes2014¢0¢$0−$8.04+$4,148
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?No7727.8¢0¢$0−$21+$3,692
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes3712.1¢0¢$0−$4.49+$4,944

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?40¢86$3550%62
BUY YesWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?40¢280$11250%62
BUY YesWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?40¢180$7250%62
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?80¢120$9650%62
BUY YesWill Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?6.9¢300$2150%62
BUY YesWill Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?6.7¢176$1250%62
BUY YesWill Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?6.7¢300$2050%62
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?41¢251$10350%62
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?90¢300$27050%62
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?90¢300$27050%62
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?90¢300$27050%62
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?17¢200$3450%62
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?86¢180$15550%62
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?81¢200$16250%62
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?81¢200$16250%62
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?81¢160$13050%62
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?55¢140$7750%62
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?55¢120$6650%62
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?55¢140$7750%62
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?71¢5$3.5550%62