sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,891

euro-catcher

0xc2e…b3a5
WhaleSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$217kvol $10.5M
PnL 30d−$160kgains $147k · losses $112k
PnL 7d−$33.6kwin rate 7d 59.0%
Win rate59.4%adj 59.0% · 30d 59.4%
Open value$61.9kcash n/a
Positions1,186 / 3,109open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$119kbelow peak −$132kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 59.4% · shrunk toward 50%48
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes67.6k29.3¢39.9¢$26.9k+$7,130+$660
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes17.4k58.9¢85.7¢$14.9k+$4,677−$849
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes4,73676¢79.5¢$3,765+$164−$2.03
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes9,71136¢35.5¢$3,447−$49$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No7,26255.2¢46.5¢$3,373−$637−$287
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes18.4k13.2¢6.8¢$1,252−$1,177+$1,524
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?Yes4,14728.4¢29.5¢$1,223+$45+$75
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo3,00034¢36.5¢$1,095+$75$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes6,43842.9¢15.5¢$998−$1,762+$666
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes1,13956¢73.5¢$837+$199$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4,26715.5¢13.5¢$576−$85+$2,837
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?No62081.1¢77.5¢$481−$22−$114
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes2,81622.2¢16.3¢$458−$169$0
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No76374¢55.5¢$423−$141$0
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Yes1,66618.1¢22.9¢$382+$81+$104
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?Yes1,72818.1¢18.5¢$320+$7.59$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No1,92455¢16.5¢$318−$741+$226
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1,85618.3¢12.4¢$230−$110$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes2,4009¢8.5¢$204−$12$0
Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?Yes34135.5¢43.5¢$149+$27+$5.07
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8?Down12886.2¢100¢$128+$18$0
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No20484¢58.4¢$119−$52−$408
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes43225.1¢24.1¢$104−$4.56+$546
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Yandex8841¢29.4¢$26−$10$0
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes20438.9¢9.5¢$19−$60+$139
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes4004.9¢4.5¢$18−$1.93$0
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1495.2¢8.1¢$12+$4.20$0
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes6312.6¢16.8¢$11+$2.64$0
Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?Yes3326¢15.5¢$5.06−$3.43$0
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?No268.2¢56.5¢$1.13−$0.23−$91
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes42.7k30.2¢0¢$0−$12.9k+$445
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes27.1k13.3¢0¢$0−$3,603+$4,124
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes25.0k54.9¢0¢$0−$13.7k+$244
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State ValkyriesToronto Tempo19.1k22.3¢0¢$0−$4,268+$45
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes19.0k16.9¢0¢$0−$3,209+$2,069
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No18.5k20.5¢0¢$0−$3,797+$3,196
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes18.0k32.5¢0¢$0−$5,840+$3,144
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes17.7k46.1¢0¢$0−$8,157−$220
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes17.1k43.2¢0¢$0−$7,399+$81
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?No15.1k73¢0¢$0−$11.0k−$151
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes14.9k30.3¢0¢$0−$4,516+$4,199
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?Yes14.9k49¢0¢$0−$7,296−$186
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaWeibo Gaming14.7k49.7¢0¢$0−$7,326−$190
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes13.6k35.7¢0¢$0−$4,851+$1,265
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International PlayoffsNigma Galaxy13.0k39.6¢0¢$0−$5,159−$17
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsLGD Gaming12.9k38.2¢0¢$0−$4,915−$90
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington MysticsToronto Tempo12.5k38.9¢0¢$0−$4,854+$383
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No11.3k21.2¢0¢$0−$2,404+$777
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 4 WinnerHANJIN BRION11.1k46.6¢0¢$0−$5,190−$59
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTEAM VISION11.0k61.6¢0¢$0−$6,757−$229
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes10.7k10.7¢0¢$0−$1,151+$803
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster10.7k44.7¢0¢$0−$4,781−$113
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnerBilibili Gaming10.6k55.3¢0¢$0−$5,843−$269
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsBNK FEARX10.3k39.1¢0¢$0−$4,023−$121
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes10.0k4.6¢0¢$0−$461−$13
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid9,89332¢0¢$0−$3,161−$53
Will MOUZ Win the CS2 EWC 2026?Yes9,8779.6¢0¢$0−$947−$42
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerCloud98,80353.9¢0¢$0−$4,743−$151
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsNigma Galaxy8,60135.4¢0¢$0−$3,041+$215
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)Daniel Rodriguez8,46624.5¢0¢$0−$2,078−$78
Portland Fire vs. Toronto TempoPortland Fire8,32566.6¢0¢$0−$5,546−$372
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerNongshim Red Force8,24153.2¢0¢$0−$4,386−$110
UNLV vs. Hawai'iHawai'i8,05528.9¢0¢$0−$2,329−$82
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No8,00424.4¢0¢$0−$1,956+$47
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports7,70620.5¢0¢$0−$1,577+$823
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes7,6769.8¢0¢$0−$754+$3,457
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerT17,60950.8¢0¢$0−$3,868−$69
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerBNK FEARX7,59834.1¢0¢$0−$2,594+$252
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster7,57736¢0¢$0−$2,728+$31
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm7,55944.9¢0¢$0−$3,394+$155
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION7,53269.3¢0¢$0−$5,221−$80
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 WinnerKT Rolster7,50148.1¢0¢$0−$3,611−$86
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No7,28427¢0¢$0−$1,968+$3,396
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Derrick Lewis7,06437.8¢0¢$0−$2,673−$49
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBilibili Gaming7,00150.7¢0¢$0−$3,551−$97
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?Yes6,96137.6¢0¢$0−$2,620+$45
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas AcesIndiana Fever6,91432.3¢0¢$0−$2,230−$70
Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics6,63821.8¢0¢$0−$1,446−$33
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 WinnerFnatic6,62367.2¢0¢$0−$4,453−$248
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonG2 Esports6,6140¢0¢$0$0$0
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 4 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers6,57441.7¢0¢$0−$2,745+$1.99
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageDplus KIA6,47114.7¢0¢$0−$952+$2,726
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes6,42442.4¢0¢$0−$2,724+$45
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes6,03110.3¢0¢$0−$623−$24
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerT16,00553.8¢0¢$0−$3,232−$132
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)Anthony Hernandez6,00037.7¢0¢$0−$2,265−$216
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination RoundLGD Gaming5,93939.8¢0¢$0−$2,361−$71
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes5,9128.7¢0¢$0−$517−$14
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend - Map 4 WinnerAcend5,88737.2¢0¢$0−$2,190−$41
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 WinnerT15,79635.7¢0¢$0−$2,070+$0.85
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerT15,73068.1¢0¢$0−$3,901−$1,234
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix MercuryPhoenix Mercury5,71253.3¢0¢$0−$3,044−$46
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)Eduardo Chapolin5,69897¢0¢$0−$5,526−$1,133
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z5,65245¢0¢$0−$2,543−$54
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerG25,63949.6¢0¢$0−$2,794−$69
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces5,57340¢0¢$0−$2,230−$33
Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFireSeattle Storm5,52244.4¢0¢$0−$2,453+$128
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend5,51467¢0¢$0−$3,696−$199
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIT15,50527.7¢0¢$0−$1,526−$33
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-InsGIANTX5,50012.7¢0¢$0−$700−$30

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY Team YandexDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs65.7¢300$19759%33
BUY Team YandexDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs65.8¢300$19759%33
BUY Team YandexDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs65.7¢300$19759%33
BUY Team YandexDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs65.8¢300$19759%33
BUY Team YandexDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs65.8¢300$19759%33
BUY PARIVISIONDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs40.6¢217$8859%33
BUY PARIVISIONDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs40.3¢204$8259%33
BUY PARIVISIONDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs45¢300$13559%33
BUY PARIVISIONDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs45¢295$13359%33
BUY Team YandexDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs57.2¢500$28659%33
BUY Team YandexDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs58.3¢500$29159%33
BUY Team YandexDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs58.6¢500$29359%33
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?19¢105$2059%33
BUY Team YandexDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs40.2¢9$3.6259%33
BUY Team YandexDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs41¢71$2959%33
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?30¢500$15059%33
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?30¢511$15359%33
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?29¢503$14659%33
BUY Team YandexDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner83¢2$1.6659%33
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?19¢511$9759%33