sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Unranked

Slowroasted

0xc30…6509
SharpWhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$35.2kvol $19.0M
PnL 30d+$417gains $823 · losses $11
PnL 7d+$130win rate 7d 83.3%
Win rate89.4%adj 87.8% · 30d 94.1%
Open value$167kcash n/a
Positions61 / 5,566open / all-time
Max drawdown−20.2%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$37.1kbelow peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

80/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65
Adjusted win rateraw 89.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d87
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity80

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 61

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No130k50¢92.2¢$120k+$54.8k$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes130k50¢7.9¢$10.2k−$54.8k$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No4,66694.9¢97.2¢$4,535+$107+$31
US recession by end of 2026?No3,20888.6¢93.5¢$2,999+$156$0
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?No2,69694.8¢97.1¢$2,617+$62$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No2,50089¢97.8¢$2,444+$219$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No2,50091.6¢97.8¢$2,443+$155$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No2,50092¢93.5¢$2,338+$38+$44
Will Venezuela become 51st state?No2,17895.9¢98¢$2,134+$44$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No2,15995.2¢97.4¢$2,103+$47$0
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?No1,57988.8¢98.7¢$1,559+$156−$0.53
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No1,53893.5¢99.3¢$1,527+$89+$15
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No1,50094¢98.3¢$1,474+$64$0
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,00099.7¢99.9¢$999+$1.50+$56
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?No83492¢98.7¢$823+$55$0
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?No78593.2¢97.6¢$766+$35$0
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No75094¢96.8¢$726+$21$0
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No69895.8¢97.5¢$680+$12$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No75083¢82.5¢$619−$3.75$0
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No62595.9¢98.2¢$613+$14$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No62073¢96.6¢$599+$146$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?No60992.8¢96.7¢$588+$23$0
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No60093¢97.6¢$585+$27$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No50090¢97.2¢$486+$36+$24
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No44664.5¢95.5¢$426+$138$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No43083.7¢95.8¢$411+$52$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No40091.3¢98.5¢$394+$29$0
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?No39689.3¢97.8¢$387+$34$0
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?No33188.9¢89¢$295+$0.15$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No25090¢97.3¢$243+$18+$35
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes17785.4¢79.5¢$141−$10$0
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No11186.6¢98.8¢$110+$14$0
Negative GDP growth in 2026?No7797.6¢98¢$76+$0.27$0
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?No8171.5¢88.5¢$71+$14$0
New pandemic in 2026?No7588¢95¢$71+$5.25$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?No6086¢98.4¢$59+$7.41$0
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?No5894.6¢96.5¢$56+$1.13$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No6267.6¢80¢$50+$7.75$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in Maine by November 30, 2026?No5094¢97.3¢$49+$1.65$0
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes5382.9¢90¢$47+$3.74$0
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?No4977.4¢95¢$46+$8.56$0
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?No4693.6¢97.6¢$44+$1.81$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in Virginia by November 30, 2026?No4595¢96.6¢$43+$0.70$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes7507¢5.5¢$41−$11$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes10058.5¢40.5¢$41−$18$0
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes5066.5¢78.9¢$39+$6.20$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes10036¢31.5¢$32−$4.50$0
Will US annex any territory in 2026?No3087¢96.2¢$29+$2.75$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in New York by November 30, 2026?No3092.9¢95.5¢$29+$0.77$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in South Carolina by November 30, 2026?No2590¢95.9¢$24+$1.46$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in Delaware by November 30, 2026?No1989.9¢97.8¢$18+$1.48$0
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?No1880¢87.5¢$16+$1.36$0
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No1595.9¢97.3¢$15+$0.20+$10
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?Yes2506.8¢5.3¢$13−$3.90$0
Human moon landing in 2026?No1197¢98.9¢$10+$0.20+$5.92
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?No1180¢92¢$9.86+$1.29$0
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?Yes2509¢3.6¢$9.00−$14$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1083.2¢87.3¢$8.72+$0.41$0
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?No798.3¢98.5¢$7.05+$0.01+$35
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes2507.6¢1.8¢$4.38−$15$0
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Yes3019¢7.2¢$2.17−$3.52−$1.80

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?95.8¢698$66889%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.4¢2,500$2,48589%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.4¢2,500$2,48589%80Sharp
BUY JaguarsJaguars vs. Bengals99.2¢55$5589%80Sharp
BUY JaguarsJaguars vs. Bengals99.4¢44$4489%80Sharp
BUY NoWill OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?99.8¢3,662$3,65589%80Sharp
BUY BillsLions vs. Bills99.8¢746$74589%80Sharp
BUY BillsLions vs. Bills99.5¢201$20089%80Sharp
BUY NoUS recession by end of 2026?86¢703$60489%80Sharp
BUY ChiefsBroncos vs. Chiefs99.8¢96$9689%80Sharp
BUY NoWill OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?99.8¢532$53189%80Sharp
BUY NoWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?97¢50$4889%80Sharp
BUY 49ers49ers vs. Rams98.7¢3$2.5989%80Sharp
BUY 49ers49ers vs. Rams95¢261$24889%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?7¢750$5389%80Sharp
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?98.4¢2,000$1,96889%80Sharp
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?99.1¢155$15389%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Hurricane Lowell make landfall in Hawaii?96¢70$6789%80Sharp
BUY NoWill the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 1 and September 10, 2026?98¢290$28489%80Sharp
BUY NoWill there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?74¢12$8.8789%80Sharp