sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,401

Noooooooop

0xc31…fe18
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,459vol $6.67M
PnL 30d+$653gains $209 · losses $2,230
PnL 7d−$90win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate86.6%adj 85.1% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$41.8kcash n/a
Positions30 / 530open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,542below peak −$7,818Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 86.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 30

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No5,46291.6¢97.3¢$5,311+$307+$170
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No4,50093.6¢97.4¢$4,381+$169+$158
Trump out as President before 2027?No4,50089.3¢96.2¢$4,327+$307+$71
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No4,50093¢94.5¢$4,253+$68−$32
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No3,13188.8¢96.7¢$3,028+$248+$579
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3,50083.4¢83.5¢$2,922+$3.62+$1,121
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No3,00091.3¢95.5¢$2,865+$127+$362
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No2,92093.1¢97.3¢$2,839+$122+$2.27
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No2,66994.4¢97.3¢$2,596+$76+$127
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo1,50090¢90.5¢$1,358+$7.50$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,50086.1¢90.5¢$1,358+$66$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No1,00191.6¢97.9¢$979+$63+$31
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No1,00093.5¢90.5¢$905−$30$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1,00065¢87.7¢$877+$227+$795
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No80094¢95.5¢$764+$12+$14
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No53088.6¢97.8¢$518+$48−$38
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No50086¢90.5¢$453+$23$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No40087.7¢97.2¢$389+$38+$4.67
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No40092.2¢93.5¢$374+$5.00$0
Will Elon register any party before 2027?No35173.9¢94.9¢$333+$74$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No30083.3¢97¢$291+$41+$76
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No25084.4¢97.3¢$243+$32$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No20088.7¢94.3¢$188+$11−$155
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No10086¢91¢$91+$5.00+$15
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No10085.1¢90.5¢$91+$5.46+$7.71
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes2075¢80.5¢$16+$1.10$0
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No2078¢70¢$14−$1.60$0
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?No20090¢0¢$0−$180+$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?Yes2002¢0¢$0−$4.00$0
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Under20075¢0¢$0−$150$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?97.5¢200$19587%58
SELL NoPlague pandemic in 2026?94.7¢100$9587%58
SELL NoUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?95¢43$4187%58
BUY NoXi Jinping out before 2027?97.5¢500$48887%58
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?94¢500$47087%58
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢500$42087%58
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢500$42587%58
SELL NoPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?78¢11$8.5887%58
SELL NoWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?96.6¢500$48387%58
SELL NoWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?97.2¢29$2887%58
SELL NoWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?97.3¢5$4.8787%58
SELL NoWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?97.4¢20$1987%58
SELL NoWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?91.3¢100$9187%58
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?99.6¢1,000$99687%58
BUY NoWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?87.4¢100$8787%58
SELL NoWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?97.5¢600$58587%58
BUY NoWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?97.4¢969$94487%58
BUY NoWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?97.3¢27$2687%58
SELL NoWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?97.6¢64$6387%58
SELL NoWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?97.7¢51$5087%58