sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,183

alwaysOn

0xc55…272d
WhalePnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$26.9kvol $3.34M
PnL 30d+$1,550gains $7,379 · losses $577
PnL 7d+$1,987win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate71.8%adj 71.0% · 30d 94.4%
Open value$141kcash n/a
Positions35 / 957open / all-time
Max drawdown−36.8%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 10d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$33.5kbelow peak −$1,095Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 71.8% · shrunk toward 50%78
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d65
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity63

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 35

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No23.7k56.5¢62.5¢$14.8k+$1,426$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No14.1k97.4¢99.8¢$14.0k+$325+$210
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No14.4k93.2¢94.5¢$13.6k+$194+$170
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No16.2k80¢83.5¢$13.5k+$572+$218
Trump out as President before 2027?No13.9k94¢95.6¢$13.3k+$215+$530
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No13.2k86.3¢89.1¢$11.8k+$369$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No11.8k88.9¢94.4¢$11.1k+$648+$107
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No11.3k92.9¢98.2¢$11.1k+$602$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No7,43689.6¢92¢$6,841+$179−$3,141
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No6,51780.7¢80.5¢$5,246−$15−$677
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes4,50085.7¢90.5¢$4,073+$216+$410
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No4,07482.5¢87.5¢$3,565+$203+$127
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No3,31195.7¢97.7¢$3,233+$65+$244
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No3,00053.5¢81.5¢$2,445+$840$0
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?No2,26289.8¢94¢$2,127+$96$0
Modi out by December 31, 2026?No2,15292.3¢90.6¢$1,951−$36+$1.55
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No1,07890.7¢95.5¢$1,029+$52+$155
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No1,00093¢94.5¢$945+$15$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No1,00075¢84.5¢$845+$95$0
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?No81965¢94¢$770+$238+$205
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No85080.6¢90.5¢$769+$84$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No63492.4¢96.8¢$613+$28+$349
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?No2,92941.8¢19.5¢$571−$654$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No50086¢95¢$475+$45$0
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?No48164.5¢93.5¢$450+$139$0
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?No41492.1¢95.3¢$394+$13+$3.87
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?No36490¢92.5¢$337+$9.10$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No35065¢94.5¢$331+$103$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No50018¢51.4¢$257+$167$0
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?No23589.6¢92¢$217+$5.51$0
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1001¢0.1¢$0.05−$0.95$0
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1001¢0.1¢$0.05−$0.95$0
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes9,62753.3¢0¢$0−$5,132$0
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes1,33711.8¢0¢$0−$158$0
Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?Yes5525¢0¢$0−$27$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?79¢601$47572%68
BUY NoWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?89¢660$58772%68
BUY YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?59.9¢216$12972%68
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?99.8¢6,850$6,83672%68
BUY NoWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?81¢350$28472%68
BUY YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?56¢5$2.8072%68
BUY YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?52.4¢37$2072%68
BUY YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?41¢250$10372%68
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?98.3¢35$3472%68
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?98.2¢65$6472%68
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?98.1¢16$1672%68
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?98.1¢25$2572%68
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?98.1¢25$2572%68
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?98.1¢25$2572%68
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?98.1¢25$2572%68
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?98.1¢45$4472%68
BUY NoWill Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?93¢40$3772%68
BUY NoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?98.8¢30$3072%68
BUY NoUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?98.5¢40$3972%68
BUY YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?66¢1,249$82472%68